Paderborn vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:2
06/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.06
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
80% (328/411)84% (357/426)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.23
Total shots
916
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
519
Passes
80% (328/411)84% (357/426)
Long passes
51% (35/68)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
61% (66/108)72% (93/129)
Crosses
13% (2/15)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.92
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
195
Tackles
68% (15/22)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.231.00
Goals prevented
0.230.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Ebnoutalib Y. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hansen M. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
  • 46', Gunther L. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
  • 46', Worner M. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
  • 48', Batzner N. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Michel S. ⚽, Muller R. (A),
  • 58', Brackelmann C. 🟥,
  • 60', Batzner N. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
  • 73', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Schmahl F. ⚽,
  • 77', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
  • 80', Tigges S. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
  • 80', Klaas S. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
  • 81', Schmahl F. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
  • 87', Muller R. 🟨,
  • 90', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
  • 90', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
  • 90+6', Stange O. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Michel S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
37.5%		Draw
27%		Elversberg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 25.5% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 23% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paderborn's form might have worsened.
  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elversberg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elversberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Paderborn - Elversberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.5 ↑
    (1.93)    		 3.49 ↓
    (3.63)    		 2.68 ↓
    (3.47)    		 6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paderborn - Elversberg?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Elversberg will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 28.1% – 78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Elversberg (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Paderborn (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 20%). Elversberg (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 4).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Elversberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Curda L. (Yellow Cards) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Muller R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elversberg: Feil M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Elversberg were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1
    30.11.2024 Elversberg - Paderborn 1:3
    27.04.2024 Paderborn - Elversberg 3:1
    25.11.2023 Elversberg - Paderborn 4:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Paderborn - Greuther Fürth 2:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Elversberg
    30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Karlsruher - Elversberg 2:3 ✺
    08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Elversberg - Hannover 2:2 ✺
    28.10.2025 Hertha Berlin - Elversberg 3:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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