Paderborn vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.06
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
80% (328/411)84% (357/426)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.23
Total shots
916
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
519
Passes
80% (328/411)84% (357/426)
Long passes
51% (35/68)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
61% (66/108)72% (93/129)
Crosses
13% (2/15)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.92
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
195
Tackles
68% (15/22)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.231.00
Goals prevented
0.230.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Ebnoutalib Y. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hansen M. , Muller R. ,
  • 46', Gunther L. , Keidel F. ,
  • 46', Worner M. , Michel S. ,
  • 48', Batzner N. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Michel S. , Muller R. (A),
  • 58', Brackelmann C. 🟥,
  • 60', Batzner N. , Sticker J. ,
  • 73', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Schmahl F. ,
  • 77', Zimmerschied T. , Malanga J. ,
  • 80', Tigges S. , Marino S. ,
  • 80', Klaas S. , Bilbija F. ,
  • 81', Schmahl F. , Conde A. ,
  • 87', Muller R. 🟨,
  • 90', Ebnoutalib Y. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 90+6', Stange O. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Michel S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
37.5%
Draw
27%
Elversberg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 25.5% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 23% 29.5%

Paderborn - Elversberg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.5
(1.93)
3.49
(3.63)
2.68
(3.47)
6%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Elversberg?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Elversberg will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Elversberg (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Paderborn (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 20%). Elversberg (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 4).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Elversberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Curda L. (Yellow Cards) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Muller R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elversberg: Feil M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Elversberg were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1
    30.11.2024 Elversberg - Paderborn 1:3
    27.04.2024 Paderborn - Elversberg 3:1
    25.11.2023 Elversberg - Paderborn 4:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1
    22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0
    23.11.2025 Karlsruher - Elversberg 2:3
    08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0
    31.10.2025 Elversberg - Hannover 2:2
    28.10.2025 Hertha Berlin - Elversberg 3:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt21118240:221841
    2Schalke21124526:161040
    3Paderborn21123633:24939
    4Elversberg21115537:231438
    5Hannover21115538:281038
    6Hertha Berlin2197528:20834
    7Kaiserslautern2194835:31431
    8Bochum2176830:27327
    9Karlsruher SC2176830:37-727
    10Nurnberg2175924:30-626
    11Arminia Bielefeld2166933:30324
    12Holstein Kiel2166926:29-324
    13Dusseldorf21731120:31-1124
    14Braunschweig21731123:35-1224
    15Magdeburg21721231:37-623
    16Preussen Munster2157925:32-722
    17SG Dynamo Dresden21561031:38-721
    18Greuther Furth21541232:52-2019

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga