Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 31
- Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 1 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | New World TV |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7, WOW |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/393) | 86% (447/522) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/393) | 86% (447/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/104) | 65% (79/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Pinckert L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
- 62', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
- 66', Bilbija F. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 66', Curda L. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 66', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 69', Engelns L. 🟨,
- 71', Sahin S. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
- 83', Fellhauer R. 🟨,
- 84', Petkov L. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
- 84', Baum E. ↓, Feil M. ↑,
- 85', Zehnter A. ↓, Brackelmann C. ↑,
- 85', Mehlem M. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Le Joncour F. ⚽, Asllani F. (A),
Chances of winning
Paderborn
43.6% | Draw
25.6% | Elversberg
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Paderborn - Elversberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.08) |
3.7 ↓
(3.77) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Elversberg?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Elversberg will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 4).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Paderborn will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Ansah I.
(Yellow Cards)
Castaneda S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P.
(Knee Injury)
Jakel F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Paderborn: Obermair R.
(Stomach Disorder)
- There are questionable in Elversberg: Rohr M.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Elversberg?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Paderborn?
Elversberg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Elversberg were as follows:
30.11.2024
Elversberg
-
Paderborn
1:3
27.04.2024
Paderborn
-
Elversberg
3:1
25.11.2023
Elversberg
-
Paderborn
4:1
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hannover | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Karlsruher SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Braunschweig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Preussen Munster | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Paderborn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Schalke | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Kaiserslautern | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Magdeburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Nurnberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
