Paderborn vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.06
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
80% (328/411)84% (357/426)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.451.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.23
Total shots
916
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
519
Passes
80% (328/411)84% (357/426)
Long passes
51% (35/68)47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
61% (66/108)72% (93/129)
Crosses
13% (2/15)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.92
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
195
Tackles
68% (15/22)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.231.00
Goals prevented
0.230.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Ebnoutalib Y. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hansen M. , Muller R. ,
  • 46', Gunther L. , Keidel F. ,
  • 46', Worner M. , Michel S. ,
  • 48', Batzner N. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Michel S. , Muller R. (A),
  • 58', Brackelmann C. 🟥,
  • 60', Batzner N. , Sticker J. ,
  • 73', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Schmahl F. ,
  • 77', Zimmerschied T. , Malanga J. ,
  • 80', Tigges S. , Marino S. ,
  • 80', Klaas S. , Bilbija F. ,
  • 81', Schmahl F. , Conde A. ,
  • 87', Muller R. 🟨,
  • 90', Ebnoutalib Y. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 90+6', Stange O. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Michel S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
37.5%
Draw
27%
Elversberg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 25.5% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 23% 29.5%

Paderborn - Elversberg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.5
(1.93)
3.49
(3.63)
2.68
(3.47)
6%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Elversberg?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Elversberg will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 4).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Elversberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Curda L. (Yellow Cards) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Muller R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elversberg: Feil M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Elversberg were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1
    30.11.2024 Elversberg - Paderborn 1:3
    27.04.2024 Paderborn - Elversberg 3:1
    25.11.2023 Elversberg - Paderborn 4:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1
    22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0
    23.11.2025 Karlsruher - Elversberg 2:3
    08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0
    31.10.2025 Elversberg - Hannover 2:2
    28.10.2025 Hertha Berlin - Elversberg 3:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke15111320:81234
    2Elversberg1593329:141530
    3Darmstadt1585226:151129
    4Paderborn1592422:16629
    5Hannover1584329:20928
    6Kaiserslautern1582527:18926
    7Hertha Berlin1582517:12526
    8Karlsruher SC1563623:27-421
    9Bochum1561821:20119
    10Preussen Munster1554621:24-319
    11Nurnberg1554617:21-419
    12Arminia Bielefeld1552826:23317
    13Holstein Kiel1544715:18-316
    14Braunschweig1542915:26-1114
    15Dusseldorf1542913:25-1214
    16Greuther Furth1542922:39-1714
    17SG Dynamo Dresden1534821:29-813
    18Magdeburg15411015:24-913

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga