Barcelona Guayaquil vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 3
  • Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chileChileZapping Sports
ecuadorEcuadorZapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.830.33
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
42
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
14
Passes
80% (301/376)86% (404/471)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.830.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.120.30
Total shots
158
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1012
Passes
80% (301/376)86% (404/471)
Long passes
43% (24/56)60% (39/65)
Passes in final third
74% (78/105)80% (117/147)
Crosses
13% (2/15)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.95
Throw ins
1721
Fouls
1210
Tackles
56% (10/18)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4641
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
1015
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.300.12
Goals prevented
0.30-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Valencia S. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Benedetto D. , Cano L. (A),
  • 60', Benedetto D. 🟨,
  • 62', Perlaza J. 🟨,
  • 66', Benedetto D. , Parrales M. ,
  • 66', Villalba H. , Celiz M. ,
  • 66', Perlaza J. , Vallecilla G. ,
  • 69', Bolanos M. , Neris J. ,
  • 69', Pizzini F. , Mina A. ,
  • 72', Quintero S. 🟨,
  • 79', Vargas W. , Carabali B. ,
  • 81', Cano L. , Castillo B. ,
  • 82', Klimowicz L. , Fragozo L. ,
  • 82', Quintero S. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 90+3', Guerrico I. , Mina A. ,

Chances of winning


Barcelona Guayaquil
43.8%
Draw
31.9%
Emelec
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25.6% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona Guayaquil's form might have worsened.
  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emelec's recent form is better than expected.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.61)
    2.95
    (3.58)
    3.73
    (5.3)
    8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Barcelona (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Emelec (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Emelec (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 25%). Emelec (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.
    • Barcelona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Barcelona could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:4
    18.05.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec 2:0
    11.02.2025 Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1
    20.10.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec 2:1
    28.04.2024 Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    28.02.2026 Emelec - Delfín 1:1
    20.12.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 5:1
    15.12.2025 Emelec - El Nacional 5:0
    08.12.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Macará 0:2
    03.12.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle751113:6716
    2U. Catolica734011:4713
    3Barcelona SC73316:3312
    4Tecnico U73228:6211
    5Dep. Cuenca73227:5211
    6Macara72415:3210
    7Libertad72417:6110
    8LDU Quito73137:8-110
    9Aucas72328:809
    10Delfin72233:4-18
    11Mushuc Runa71428:9-17
    12Leones del Norte71423:7-47
    13Guayaquil City71333:8-56
    14Emelec72236:8-25
    15Orense71249:13-45
    16Manta71152:8-64

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