Result
0:4
14/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 28
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/422) | 80% (299/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 3.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/422) | 80% (299/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (88/131) | 52% (34/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (3/36) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Rivero O. ⚽, Carabali B. (A),
- 26', Souza de Almeida L. 🟨,
- 35', Caicedo F. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Valiente J. ⚽, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Barco A. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 46', Cueva C. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 46', Angulo J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 51', Solis M. 🟨,
- 51', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
- 66', Solis M. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 67', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Corozo J. (Pen),
- 75', Valiente J. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
- 79', Castillo Segura B. D. 🟥,
- 80', Leon F. 🟨,
- 80', De Arruabarrena I. 🟨,
- 80', Arreaga X. 🟨,
- 90+21', 🟨,
- 90+21', 0 - 4, Oyola B. (Pen),
- 90+22', Carabali B. ↓, Rangel A. ↑,
- 90+22', Rivero O. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 90+23', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Emelec
18.5% | Draw
29.3% | Barcelona Guayaquil
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emelec's form might have worsened.Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona Guayaquil's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emelec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.07 ↑
(3.18) |
4.16 ↑
(3.23) |
2.21 ↑
(2.1) |
-16.6%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 0.
- Emelec is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Emelec?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
18.05.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Emelec
2:0
11.02.2025
Emelec
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
20.10.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Emelec
2:1
28.04.2024
Emelec
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:1
12.11.2023
Emelec
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:0
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
