Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 13
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (227/289) | 71% (184/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (227/289) | 71% (184/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 52% (34/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Rivero O. ⚽,
- 8', Mario Pineida 🟨,
- 15', Meli M. 🟨,
- 15', Arreaga X. 🟨,
- 19', Contreras J. ↓, De Arruabarrena I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caicedo F. ↓, Corozo J. ↑,
- 56', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Rivero O. ⚽,
- 64', Gonzalez A. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 64', Ruiz J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 71', Meli M. 🟨,
- 78', Mario Pineida ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 78', Oyola B. ↓, Chala A. ↑,
- 78', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 81', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 83', Castelli F. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
55.7% | Draw
25.8% | Emelec
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.54) |
3.59 ↓
(3.85) |
5.09 ↓
(6.01) |
7.5%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona Guayaquil will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Emelec?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec were as follows:
11.02.2025
Emelec
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
20.10.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Emelec
2:1
28.04.2024
Emelec
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:1
12.11.2023
Emelec
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:0
03.06.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Emelec
1:3
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
