Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 1
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/323) | 83% (465/557) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/323) | 83% (465/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (47/81) | 73% (123/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cevallos J. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Solis M. ⚽, Leon F. (A),
- 22', Gonzalez A. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 38', Cevallos J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Chacon J. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 46', Piedra M. ↓, Maccari M. ↑,
- 57', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 58', Quintero S. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 1, Mancinelli L. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 62', Ayovi J. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 62', Cevallos J. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 64', Bagui Tobar D. O. 🟨,
- 72', Maccari M. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 1, Ruiz J. (Pen),
- 78', Solis M. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 78', Munoz E. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez A. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 82', Estupinan L. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Emelec
44.3% | Draw
29.9% | Deportivo Cuenca
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.91) |
3.06 ↓
(3.25) |
3.54 ↓
(4.1) |
8.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 3.
- Emelec is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Deportivo Cuenca has had a series of away games.
- Emelec will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Emelec has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Emelec?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
11.08.2025
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
19.04.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
0:1
04.08.2024
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
02.03.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
1:2
03.12.2023
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
