Result
0:1
19/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/442) | 67% (162/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/442) | 67% (162/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/113) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (9/40) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 63 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', Bagui Tobar D. O. 🟨,
- 45+5', 0 - 1, Corozo W. ⚽, Jhon Sanchez (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Morocho S. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 62', Corozo W. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 64', Quinonez J. 🟨,
- 70', Nazareno B. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
- 71', Munoz E. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 77', Estupinan L. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
- 85', Quinonez J. 🟨,
- 89', Arroyo L. 🟨,
- 89', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 89', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 90', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
- 90+4', Caicedo R. 🟥,
- 90+7', Araujo N. 🟥,
- 90+7', Celico J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
49.4% | Draw
29.6% | Emelec
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.2) |
3.12 ↑
(3.01) |
4.4 ↑
(3.45) |
7.8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
- Deportivo Cuenca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Emelec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Deportivo Cuenca is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 20:33 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Emelec?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Emelec has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec were as follows:
04.08.2024
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
02.03.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
1:2
03.12.2023
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
18.06.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
3:2
09.03.2023
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
