Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca
Result
1:1
11/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 24
  • Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.82
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
77% (281/363)84% (378/451)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.76
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
811
Passes
77% (281/363)84% (378/451)
Long passes
36% (15/42)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
60% (77/128)71% (60/85)
Crosses
24% (4/17)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.35
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
1113
Tackles
91% (10/11)74% (17/23)
Duels won
4346
Clearances
1330
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.760.82
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Ruiz J. 🟥,
  • 33', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 34', Angulo J. 🟨,
  • 35', Maccari M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Castelli F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Ordonez J. , Piedra M. (A),
  • 58', Quintero S. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 59', Angulo J. , Solis M. ,
  • 66', Gustavino L. 🟨,
  • 67', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
  • 70', Estupinan L. , Moreno K. ,
  • 73', Castelli F. , Ayovi J. ,
  • 73', Gonzalez A. , Quinonez J. ,
  • 73', Leon F. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Leon F. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Emelec
48.8%
Draw
29.8%
Deportivo Cuenca
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 28.4% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.05)
    3.11
    (3.29)
    4.3
    (3.6)
    8.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 63.4%93.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emelec will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 3.
    • Emelec is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Deportivo Cuenca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Emelec has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Emelec is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 0:1
    04.08.2024 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1
    02.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 1:2
    03.12.2023 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1
    18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 3:2
    Latest results of Emelec
    03.08.2025 Libertad Loja - Emelec 1:2
    30.07.2025 Miguel Iturralde - Emelec 1:2
    26.07.2025 Manta - Emelec 2:4
    20.07.2025 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 1:0
    12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 301810255:233264
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 30166846:331354
    3LDU Quito ✔ 30149748:311751
    4U. Catolica301310758:391949
    5Orense30138934:32247
    6Libertad301210842:36646
    7Dep. Cuenca301371035:29646
    8Emelec ✔ 301191030:34-442
    9Aucas ✔ 301181138:41-341
    10Macara ✔ 309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional ✔ 30971432:46-1434
    12Delfin306131126:42-1631
    13Tecnico U30771626:46-2028
    14Vinotinto30761734:43-927
    15Mushuc Runa ✔ 30761738:50-1227
    16Manta ✔ 305111434:53-1926

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )