Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca).

: Liga Pro - Round 9

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.76
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
82% (362/442)	67% (162/241)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.49	0.85
Total shots
17	7
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
11	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
17	7
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
82% (362/442)	67% (162/241)
Long passes
50% (32/64)	45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
64% (72/113)	51% (41/80)
Crosses
23% (9/40)	0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.18
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
81% (13/16)	76% (19/25)
Duels won
63	63
Clearances Total
18	45
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.85	0.49
Goals prevented
-0.15	0.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Bagui Tobar D. O. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Corozo W. ⚽, Jhon Sanchez (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Morocho S. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
62', Corozo W. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
64', Quinonez J. 🟨,
70', Nazareno B. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
71', Munoz E. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
77', Estupinan L. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
85', Quinonez J. 🟨,
89', Arroyo L. 🟨,
89', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
89', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
90', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
90+4', Caicedo R. 🟥,
90+7', Araujo N. 🟥,
90+7', Celico J. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Cuenca
49.4%

Draw
29.6%

Emelec
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.2)	3.12 ↑ (3.01)	4.4 ↑ (3.45)	7.8% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
Deportivo Cuenca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Emelec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Deportivo Cuenca is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 20:33 (average 1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.3:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Emelec?

Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Deportivo Cuenca?

Emelec has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec were as follows:

04.08.2024 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1

02.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 1:2

03.12.2023 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1

18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 3:2

09.03.2023 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1

Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca

10.04.2025 Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca 4:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito 1:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Emelec

11.04.2025 Emelec - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Emelec - Manta 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 1:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Vinotinto - Emelec 2:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Macará 0:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	18	10	6	2	34:16	18	36
2	Barcelona SC	18	10	3	5	30:23	7	33
3	Dep. Cuenca	18	10	2	6	22:15	7	32
4	LDU Quito	18	8	6	4	29:19	10	30
5	Orense	18	9	3	6	21:21	0	30
6	Aucas	18	8	5	5	25:20	5	29
7	Delfin	18	6	7	5	19:23	-4	25
8	U. Catolica	18	6	6	6	28:23	5	24
9	Libertad	18	6	6	6	27:25	2	24
10	Vinotinto	18	6	4	8	25:23	2	22
11	EL Nacional	18	5	5	8	22:28	-6	20
12	Manta	18	4	8	6	23:30	-7	20
13	Macara	18	4	7	7	14:17	-3	19
14	Emelec	18	4	7	7	13:22	-9	19
15	Mushuc Runa	18	4	3	11	22:35	-13	15
16	Tecnico U	18	2	6	10	16:30	-14	12

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz