Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 7
  • Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chileChileZapping Sports
ecuadorEcuadorTeleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.992.15
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
34
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
34
Passes
83% (332/402)74% (239/323)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.992.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.40
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
77
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
77
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
139
Passes
83% (332/402)74% (239/323)
Long passes
44% (18/41)45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
70% (78/112)65% (51/79)
Crosses
36% (4/11)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.98
Throw ins
1522
Fouls
913
Tackles
77% (10/13)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4652
Clearances
1520
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.401.03
Goals prevented
-0.601.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', Morocho S. , Chacon J. ,
  • 58', Guevara E. , Garcia B. ,
  • 64', Pizzini F. , Neris J. ,
  • 68', Leguizamon N. , Klimowicz M. ,
  • 68', Gonzalez D. , Rivero G. ,
  • 72', Mina A. 🟨,
  • 73', Segura E. 🟥,
  • 76', Napoli G. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 78', Mancinelli L. , Ordonez J. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Klimowicz M. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+5', Mina A. , Gonzaga J. ,
  • 90+6', Klimowicz L. , Cevallos J. ,
  • 90+7', 0 - 2, Rivero G. , Ordonez J. (A),

Chances of winning


Emelec
50.6%
Draw
28.5%
Deportivo Cuenca
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 28.9% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.88)
    3.22
    (3.38)
    4.48
    (4.11)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Emelec is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 5:1
    04.10.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1
    11.08.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 1:1
    19.04.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec 0:1
    04.08.2024 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1
    Latest results of Emelec
    22.03.2026 Mushuc Runa - Emelec 2:0
    15.03.2026 Emelec - Orense 2:1
    28.02.2026 Emelec - Delfín 1:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle751113:6716
    2U. Catolica734011:4713
    3Barcelona SC73316:3312
    4Tecnico U73228:6211
    5Dep. Cuenca73227:5211
    6Macara72415:3210
    7Libertad72417:6110
    8LDU Quito73137:8-110
    9Aucas72328:809
    10Delfin72233:4-18
    11Mushuc Runa71428:9-17
    12Leones del Norte71423:7-47
    13Guayaquil City71333:8-56
    14Emelec72236:8-25
    15Orense71249:13-45
    16Manta71152:8-64

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )