Result
1:1
11/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 24
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 84% (378/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 84% (378/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (77/128) | 71% (60/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Ruiz J. 🟥,
- 33', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 34', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 35', Maccari M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Castelli F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Ordonez J. ⚽, Piedra M. (A),
- 58', Quintero S. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
- 59', Angulo J. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 66', Gustavino L. 🟨,
- 67', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
- 70', Estupinan L. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
- 73', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 73', Gonzalez A. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 73', Leon F. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Leon F. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Emelec
48.8% | Draw
29.8% | Deportivo Cuenca
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.05) |
3.11 ↓
(3.29) |
4.3 ↑
(3.6) |
8.1%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emelec: 63.4% – 93.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emelec will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 3.
- Emelec is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportivo Cuenca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Emelec has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Emelec is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Emelec has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Emelec?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
19.04.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
0:1
04.08.2024
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
02.03.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
1:2
03.12.2023
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
18.06.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
3:2
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
