Result
5:1
20/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 10
- Referee: Torres Cajax A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (370/408) | 83% (311/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (370/408) | 83% (311/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (32/46) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (69/92) | 56% (43/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 21 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -2.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', Ordonez J. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 15', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
- 23', Solis M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Luna Tobar C. ⚽, Leguizamon N. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Fragozo L. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 46', Valverde J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Morocho S. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
- 57', 4 - 0, Leguizamon N. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 65', 4 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Garces R. (A),
- 74', Morocho S. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 77', 5 - 1, Chacon J. ⚽, Maccari M. (A),
- 80', Leguizamon N. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
60.9% | Draw
24.4% | Emelec
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.94) |
3.77 ↑
(3.07) |
6.27 ↑
(4.02) |
8.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Deportivo Cuenca (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Cuenca will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Cuenca will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 12 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
- Deportivo Cuenca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Emelec has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Emelec?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Emelec has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec were as follows:
04.10.2025
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:1
11.08.2025
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
19.04.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
0:1
04.08.2024
Emelec
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
02.03.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Emelec
1:2
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Macara | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Libertad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Delfin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Tecnico U | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Manta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Aucas | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Orense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Emelec | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
