Result
2:0
25/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 14
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (347/394) | 72% (138/192) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (347/394) | 72% (138/192) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 32% (18/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (99/131) | 42% (25/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Reasco D. ⚽, Cela A. (A),
- 10', Quinonez J. 🟥,
- 13', Castelli F. 🟨,
- 18', Castelli F. 🟨,
- 30', 2 - 0, Cela A. ⚽, Pazmino D. (A),
- 35', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Arroyo E. ↑,
- 37', Flor F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Corozo W. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 57', Solis M. 🟨,
- 62', Guisamano J. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 62', Flor F. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 64', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 78', Borja F. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 78', Cevallos J. ↓, Maya J. ↑,
- 79', Ruiz J. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
- 84', Reasco D. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
46% | Draw
28.9% | Emelec
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
El Nacional - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.93) |
3.21 ↓
(3.31) |
3.72 ↓
(3.96) |
7.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- El Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Emelec?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against El Nacional?
Emelec has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Emelec were as follows:
18.08.2024
Emelec
-
El Nacional
0:1
17.03.2024
El Nacional
-
Emelec
0:1
16.09.2023
El Nacional
-
Emelec
1:1
17.04.2023
Emelec
-
El Nacional
1:2
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
