Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 5
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (304/386) | 67% (210/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (304/386) | 67% (210/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 43% (37/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (78/121) | 56% (74/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Ayovi J. (Pen),
- 34', Quintero S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽, Cela A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ayovi J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 62', Rivera B. ↓, Cabezas Briones R. A. ↑,
- 75', Hernandez B. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 75', Leon F. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 84', Gonzalez A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 84', Mejia Moreira J. D. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Velez C. ⚽,
- 90+1', Ruiz J. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
- 90+1', Solis M. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
- 90+3', Perez J. C. 🟥,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
36.6% | Draw
28.5% | Emelec
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
El Nacional - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.46) |
3.23 ↓
(3.31) |
2.65 ↓
(2.66) |
8.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2.
- El Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Emelec is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Emelec has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Emelec?
El Nacional has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against El Nacional?
Emelec has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Emelec were as follows:
21.09.2025
Emelec
-
El Nacional
4:0
25.05.2025
El Nacional
-
Emelec
2:0
18.08.2024
Emelec
-
El Nacional
0:1
17.03.2024
El Nacional
-
Emelec
0:1
16.09.2023
El Nacional
-
Emelec
1:1
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 39:38 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Emelec | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | Aucas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 41:54 | -13 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 30:49 | -19 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
