Manta vs Emelec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 22
Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.79
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
80% (364/454)	67% (167/248)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.43	2.99
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
33	25
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
21	11
Passes
80% (364/454)	67% (167/248)
Long passes
57% (29/51)	41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
63% (95/152)	52% (35/67)
Crosses
16% (5/31)	60% (9/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.79	1.66
Throw-ins
21	13
Fouls
11	21
Tackles
73% (11/15)	75% (15/20)
Duels won
63	57
Clearances
16	44
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
2.99	2.43
Goals prevented
-1.01	0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 4)
10', Aleman C. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Cueva C. (Pen),
13', 0 - 2, Barco A. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
40', 0 - 3, Castelli F. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
45+1', 0 - 4, Castillo Saa J. L. ⚽,
45+5', Angulo J. 🟨,
45+7', Cueva C. 🟨,
45+7', Madruga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Medina E. A. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
46', Cueva C. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
46', Madruga A. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
46', Chala J. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
57', 1 - 4, Valencia D. ⚽, Cabezas D. (A),
61', Mina J. 🟨,
62', Angulo J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Leon F. ↑,
67', Alman J. ↓, Bartora G. ↑,
70', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
73', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
79', Valencia D. 🟨,
82', 2 - 4, Valencia D. ⚽, Cabezas D. (A),
82', Ruiz J. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
89', Ortiz R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Manta
27%

Draw
29.5%

Emelec
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emelec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emelec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manta - Emelec Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.61)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	2.18 ↓ (2.63)	4.4% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Manta - Emelec?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 50%). Emelec (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0.
Recent form of Manta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Emelec's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:33. (average 0.7:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Emelec?

Manta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Manta?

Emelec has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Emelec were as follows:

06.04.2025 Emelec - Manta 1:1

25.01.2025 Emelec - Manta 2:2

Latest results of Manta

21.07.2025 Libertad Loja - Manta 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 4:2 ✺

06.07.2025 El Nacional - Manta 1:0 ✺

23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Emelec

20.07.2025 Emelec - Mushuc Runa 1:0 ✺

12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Emelec 1:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	28	18	8	2	53:21	32	62
2	LDU Quito	28	13	9	6	43:26	17	48
3	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
4	Orense	28	13	6	9	34:32	2	45
5	U. Catolica	28	11	10	7	52:36	16	43
6	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
7	Libertad	28	11	9	8	40:35	5	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	28	6	12	10	26:41	-15	30
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	28	6	6	16	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa	28	6	5	17	31:48	-17	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )