Result
2:4
26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (364/454) | 67% (167/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 2.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (364/454) | 67% (167/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (29/51) | 41% (21/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (95/152) | 52% (35/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 60% (9/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.99 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 10', Aleman C. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Cueva C. (Pen),
- 13', 0 - 2, Barco A. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
- 40', 0 - 3, Castelli F. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 4, Castillo Saa J. L. ⚽,
- 45+5', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 45+7', Cueva C. 🟨,
- 45+7', Madruga A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Medina E. A. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 46', Cueva C. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
- 46', Madruga A. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 46', Chala J. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 4, Valencia D. ⚽, Cabezas D. (A),
- 61', Mina J. 🟨,
- 62', Angulo J. ↓, Cuero Palacio J. R. ↑,
- 62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Leon F. ↑,
- 67', Alman J. ↓, Bartora G. ↑,
- 70', Castelli F. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
- 73', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
- 79', Valencia D. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 4, Valencia D. ⚽, Cabezas D. (A),
- 82', Ruiz J. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
- 89', Ortiz R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Manta
27% | Draw
29.5% | Emelec
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emelec's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emelec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Manta - Emelec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(2.61) |
3.23 ↑
(3.22) |
2.18 ↓
(2.63) |
4.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Manta - Emelec?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 50%). Emelec (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0.
- Recent form of Manta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Emelec's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:33. (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Emelec?
Manta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emelec won against Manta?
Emelec has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Emelec were as follows:
06.04.2025
Emelec
-
Manta
1:1
25.01.2025
Emelec
-
Manta
2:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Aucas | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 28:44 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
