Emmen vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 18
  • Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.46
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (367/450)69% (207/301)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.781.09
Total shots
175
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
336
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
915
Passes
82% (367/450)69% (207/301)
Long passes
47% (27/58)30% (23/77)
Passes in final third
67% (81/121)51% (48/95)
Crosses
27% (7/26)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.32
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
159
Tackles
77% (10/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.092.78
Goals prevented
-0.91-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, van Duijn S. , Hartog J. (A),
  • 22', Everink L. , Beukers D. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Mulder P. (Pen),
  • 33', Adjedj E. 🟥,
  • 36', Van Der Velde Y. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Evina F. , Nunumete D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Larsen L. , Geypens T. ,
  • 46', Zeefuik L. , Toppenberg K. ,
  • 61', van den Ban Y. , Robbemond R. ,
  • 61', Van Der Velde Y. , Boogaard K. ,
  • 71', Bakir A. , Gerezgiher F. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Evina F. , Postema R. (A),
  • 73', Twisk N. 🟨,
  • 73', Menu M. , Atikallah R. ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Hartog J. , Boogaard K. (A),
  • 81', 4 - 2, Postema R. , Gerezgiher F. (A),
  • 81', Bolk G. 🟨,
  • 82', van Duijn S. , Smits A. ,
  • 86', Evina F. , Hawkins J. ,
  • 86', Ostergaard C. , van Manen S. ,
  • 90+4', Geypens T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Emmen
53.9%
Draw
22.7%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 24.4% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 24% 27.2%

Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.76
(1.94)
4.14
(3.8)
3.96
(3.35)
6.3%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Emmen will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emmen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Emmen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury) Rhein T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Daal R. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Emmen: Claridge A. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:4
    13.12.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen 1:1
    08.04.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen 3:2
    27.10.2023 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    Latest results of Emmen
    22.11.2025 Emmen - Roda 1:1
    15.11.2025 Willem II - Emmen 1:1
    07.11.2025 Jong Utrecht - Emmen 1:2
    02.11.2025 Emmen - Waalwijk 2:2
    28.10.2025 Hoogeveen - Emmen 1:0
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag24172559:293053
    2Cambuur23155350:262450
    3Jong PSV24124851:46540
    4Almere City251231053:411239
    5Roda25109643:37639
    6De Graafschap25116845:40539
    7Waalwijk25107842:38437
    8Willem II24106832:33-136
    9Dordrecht2597935:35034
    10Den Bosch251041145:46-134
    11Jong Utrecht2588944:46-232
    12Venlo251021334:39-532
    13Eindhoven FC24941135:44-931
    14FC Emmen23851040:44-429
    15Maastricht25761230:49-1927
    16Oss24681032:40-826
    17Jong AZ25821543:51-826
    18Helmond25751331:45-1426
    19Vitesse2588937:39-220
    20Jong Ajax24471333:46-1319

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