Result
4:2
28/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 18
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/450) | 69% (207/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/450) | 69% (207/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 30% (23/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (81/121) | 51% (48/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, van Duijn S. ⚽, Hartog J. (A),
- 22', Everink L. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
- 27', 1 - 1, Mulder P. (Pen),
- 33', Adjedj E. 🟥,
- 36', Van Der Velde Y. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Evina F. ⚽, Nunumete D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Larsen L. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
- 46', Zeefuik L. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
- 61', van den Ban Y. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
- 61', Van Der Velde Y. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
- 71', Bakir A. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Evina F. ⚽, Postema R. (A),
- 73', Twisk N. 🟨,
- 73', Menu M. ↓, Atikallah R. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 2, Hartog J. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
- 81', 4 - 2, Postema R. ⚽, Gerezgiher F. (A),
- 81', Bolk G. 🟨,
- 82', van Duijn S. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 86', Evina F. ↓, Hawkins J. ↑,
- 86', Ostergaard C. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,
- 90+4', Geypens T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Emmen
53.9% | Draw
22.7% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emmen's performance.Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emmen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.94) |
4.14 ↑
(3.8) |
3.96 ↑
(3.35) |
6.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Emmen will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emmen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Emmen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Emmen: Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
Rhein T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Daal R.
(Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Emmen: Claridge A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Emmen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Emmen?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
18.04.2025
Emmen
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:4
13.12.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Emmen
1:1
08.04.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Emmen
3:2
27.10.2023
Emmen
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
