Result
04/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bari
32.3% | Draw
29.4% | Empoli
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Bari - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.71) |
3.17 ↑
(3.1) |
2.44 ↓
(2.57) |
7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
- Bari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Empoli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bari won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Empoli?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Bari?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Empoli were as follows:
29.11.2025
Empoli
-
Bari
5:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
