Result
5:0
29/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 14
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/445) | 82% (348/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.74 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/445) | 82% (348/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (32/55) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (61/94) | 55% (41/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Dickmann L. 🟨,
- 39', Vicari F. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Guarino G. ⚽, Degli Innocenti D. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Shpendi S. ⚽, Moruzzi B. (A),
- 61', Castrovilli G. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
- 61', Pagano R. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 62', Shpendi S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 63', Saporiti E. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 63', Nasti M. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
- 64', Ceesay J. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 0, Yepes G. ⚽, Pellegri P. (A),
- 71', Elia S. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
- 76', Pucino R. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 76', Verreth M. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
- 83', Yepes G. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 0, Pellegri P. ⚽, Degli Innocenti D. (A),
- 90', Moncini G. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
- 90+1', 5 - 0, Ceesay J. ⚽, Pellegri P. (A),
Chances of winning
Empoli
44.8% | Draw
30.4% | Bari
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Empoli - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.02) |
3.1 ↓
(3.33) |
3.79 ↑
(3.64) |
6.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Bari?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Bari will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Empoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Injury)
Pereiro G.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Bari?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Empoli?
Bari has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Bari were as follows:
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 47 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Monza | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Palermo | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Modena | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 34 |
| 6 | Cesena | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Catanzaro | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Empoli | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Avellino | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Padova | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Entella | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Spezia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Mantova | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
| 19 | Bari | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
