Fiorentina vs Empoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Empoli
Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 34
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1, Tring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, Optus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 7
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.37
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
78% (318/406)73% (246/335)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.65
Total shots
68
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
78% (318/406)73% (246/335)
Long passes
30% (19/63)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
74% (65/88)53% (58/109)
Crosses
50% (3/6)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.39
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1618
Tackles
50% (5/10)52% (13/25)
Duels won
5353
Clearances
4211
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.651.71
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Adli Y. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
  • 16', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 20', Anjorin F. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Solbakken O. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
  • 46', Anjorin F. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
  • 53', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 55', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Fazzini J. ⚽, Goglichidze S. (A),
  • 60', Ranieri L. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
  • 60', Adli Y. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
  • 70', Folorunsho M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
  • 70', Beltran L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
  • 77', Grassi A. ↓, Kovalenko V. ↑,
  • 78', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 82', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
  • 82', Fazzini J. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
  • 89', Goglichidze S. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
47.1%		Draw
29.5%		Empoli
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 26% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Fiorentina - Empoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.03 ↑
    (1.73)    		 3.26 ↓
    (3.68)    		 4.16 ↓
    (5.19)    		 4%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Empoli?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Empoli (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (48 of 59 users predict this - 81.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.42% – 91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0.
    • Fiorentina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Empoli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Empoli: Cacace L. (Yellow Cards) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Kean M. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Empoli were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:3
    29.09.2024 Empoli - Fiorentina 0:0
    18.02.2024 Empoli - Fiorentina 1:1
    23.10.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 0:2
    19.02.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    17.04.2025 Fiorentina - Celje 2:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Empoli
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2 ✺
    14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Empoli - Cagliari 0:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 Empoli - Bologna 0:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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