Fiorentina vs Empoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 34
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1, Tring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, Optus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 7
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.37
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
78% (318/406)73% (246/335)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.65
Total shots
68
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
78% (318/406)73% (246/335)
Long passes
30% (19/63)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
74% (65/88)53% (58/109)
Crosses
50% (3/6)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.39
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1618
Tackles
50% (5/10)52% (13/25)
Duels won
5353
Clearances
4211
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.651.71
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Adli Y. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
  • 16', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 20', Anjorin F. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Solbakken O. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
  • 46', Anjorin F. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
  • 53', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 55', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Fazzini J. ⚽, Goglichidze S. (A),
  • 60', Ranieri L. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
  • 60', Adli Y. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
  • 70', Folorunsho M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
  • 70', Beltran L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
  • 77', Grassi A. ↓, Kovalenko V. ↑,
  • 78', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 82', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
  • 82', Fazzini J. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
  • 89', Goglichidze S. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
47.1%		Draw
29.5%		Empoli
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 26% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Fiorentina - Empoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.03 ↑
    (1.73)    		 3.26 ↓
    (3.68)    		 4.16 ↓
    (5.19)    		 4%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Empoli?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Empoli (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Empoli (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (48 of 59 users predict this - 81.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.42% – 91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Empoli (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0.
    • Fiorentina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Empoli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Empoli: Cacace L. (Yellow Cards) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Kean M. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Empoli were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:3
    29.09.2024 Empoli - Fiorentina 0:0
    18.02.2024 Empoli - Fiorentina 1:1
    23.10.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 0:2
    19.02.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    17.04.2025 Fiorentina - Celje 2:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Empoli
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2 ✺
    14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Empoli - Cagliari 0:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 Empoli - Bologna 0:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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