Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 34
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (318/406) | 73% (246/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (318/406) | 73% (246/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/63) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (65/88) | 53% (58/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Adli Y. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
- 16', Beltran L. 🟨,
- 20', Anjorin F. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Solbakken O. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 46', Anjorin F. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
- 53', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 55', Ranieri L. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Fazzini J. ⚽, Goglichidze S. (A),
- 60', Ranieri L. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
- 60', Adli Y. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
- 70', Folorunsho M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 70', Beltran L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
- 77', Grassi A. ↓, Kovalenko V. ↑,
- 78', Mandragora R. 🟨,
- 82', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
- 82', Fazzini J. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
- 89', Goglichidze S. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
47.1% | Draw
29.5% | Empoli
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fiorentina - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.73) |
3.26 ↓
(3.68) |
4.16 ↓
(5.19) |
4%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Empoli?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Empoli (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(48 of 59 users predict this - 81.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.42% – 91.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0.
- Fiorentina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Empoli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Dodo
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Empoli: Cacace L.
(Yellow Cards)
Haas N.
(Knee Injury)
Kouame C.
(Knee Injury)
Maleh Y.
(Knee Injury)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
Sazonov S.
(Knee Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A.
(Foot Injury)
Kean M.
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Ismajli A.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Empoli?
Fiorentina has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Fiorentina?
Empoli has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Empoli were as follows:
04.12.2024
Fiorentina
-
Empoli
2:3
29.09.2024
Empoli
-
Fiorentina
0:0
18.02.2024
Empoli
-
Fiorentina
1:1
23.10.2023
Fiorentina
-
Empoli
0:2
19.02.2023
Fiorentina
-
Empoli
1:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Fiorentina - Empoli?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
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 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport 2, Sport 3 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
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 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
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 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
