Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Celik D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (251/334) | 83% (416/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (251/334) | 83% (416/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (17/55) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (50/88) | 59% (37/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Mamadou M. ⚽, Aabid R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Oscar Pinchi ↓, Akyol U. ↑,
- 59', Catakovic H. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Coban B. ⚽,
- 74', Jack R. ↓, Aydogmus B. ↑,
- 75', Albayrak M. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
- 77', Aabid R. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
- 81', Demir E. ↓, Sismanoglu O. ↑,
- 85', Coban B. 🟨,
- 85', Orak F. 🟨,
- 88', Laine J. ↓, Yucer Y. ↑,
- 90', Coban B. ↓, Altintas E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
40.9% | Draw
34.5% | Erokspor
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Sakaryaspor - Erokspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.62) |
2.67 ↑
(2.6) |
3.72 ↑
(3.32) |
8.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Erokspor?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 36 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 83.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 12 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sakaryaspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Basacikoglu B.
(Inactive)
Totre E.
(Inactive)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Erokspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Erokspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Erokspor were as follows:
11.01.2025
Erokspor
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Erokspor
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bye | |
| 3 | Bandirmaspor (5) | Erzurumspor (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Istanbulspor AS (4) | Boluspor (7) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bandirmaspor (5) | Boluspor (7) | 1 : 0, 4 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bandirmaspor (5) | 3 : 1 |
