Result
1:2
13/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 35
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/335) | 86% (466/541) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 4.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/335) | 86% (466/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (73/114) | 68% (80/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.34 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Bekaroglu B. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Jack R. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
- 46', Gedik E. ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,
- 46', Bostan M. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Niyaz R. ⚽,
- 56', Yavuz S. 🟥,
- 61', Owusu ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 61', Sen K. ↓, Tuzcu D. ↑,
- 68', Okyar M. 🟨,
- 78', Okyar M. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Catakovic H. ⚽,
- 82', Niyaz R. ↓, Kacar T. ↑,
- 88', Catakovic H. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 89', Yildirim P. 🟨,
- 90', Faye M. 🟨,
- 90', Pena S. ↓, Demir A. ↑,
- 90+1', Demir A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
14.7% | Draw
21.8% | Erokspor
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erokspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Sakaryaspor - Erokspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.36 ↑
(4.69) |
4.27 ↑
(4.1) |
1.44 ↓
(1.6) |
8.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Erokspor?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Erokspor will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Erokspor is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Erokspor: Kanga G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Erokspor: Ulas O.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Erokspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Erokspor were as follows:
06.12.2025
Erokspor
-
Sakaryaspor
4:1
10.05.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Erokspor
2:0
11.01.2025
Erokspor
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Erokspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
