Result
4:1
06/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 16
- Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/409) | 80% (268/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.58 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/409) | 80% (268/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (42/69) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (81/119) | 66% (67/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 4.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Vukovic J. 🟨,
- 20', Altiparmak B. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Amilton ⚽, Kayode O. (A),
- 33', Okyar M. 🟨,
- 35', Ben Yedder W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', 1 - 1, Coban B. ⚽, Yavuz S. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', Kanga G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 53', 2 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Alic E. (A),
- 63', Ben Yedder W. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 74', Lus B. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
- 74', Kacar T. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 74', Demir M. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Kanga G. (A),
- 84', Kayode O. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 84', Kanga G. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 88', Erdogan E. 🟨,
- 88', Amilton ↓, Hidayetoglu A. ↑,
- 88', Erdogan E. ↓, Cihan M. ↑,
- 88', Altiparmak B. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
- 90+6', 4 - 1, Catakovic H. ⚽, Alic E. (A),
Chances of winning
Erokspor
56.4% | Draw
22.8% | Sakaryaspor
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Erokspor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.58) |
4.14 ↑
(3.86) |
4.41 ↓
(4.97) |
7.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Sakaryaspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Erokspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sakaryaspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Erokspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Cetin E.
(Suspended)
Gedik E.
(Suspended)
Isik E.
(Suspended)
Kahveci M.
(Suspended)
Nzaba F.
(Yellow Cards)
Tetik B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A.
(Suspended)
Dursun S.
(Yellow Cards)
Erkin C.
(Red Card)
Kolovetsios D.
(Knee Injury)
Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Tekogul Y.
(Suspended)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Erokspor: Niyaz R.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Erokspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Erokspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
10.05.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Erokspor
2:0
11.01.2025
Erokspor
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
