Erokspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Esenler Stadium (Istanbul).

1. Lig - Round 23
Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.11	0.50
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
7	6
Passes
82% (366/444)	80% (329/412)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.11	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	0.45
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked shots
11	1
Shots inside the box
11	5
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
36	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free kicks
12	6
Passes
82% (366/444)	80% (329/412)
Long passes
49% (33/67)	45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
78% (124/160)	67% (64/96)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	0.35
Throw ins
17	21
Fouls
6	12
Tackles
72% (13/18)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
39	28
Clearances
15	25
Interceptions
15	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.45	0.21
Goals prevented
0.45	-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Faye M. ⚽, Bilazer H. (A),
39', Bardhi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bardhi J. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
66', Djokanovic A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
66', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
66', Ekincier B. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
71', Glumac T. 🟨,
76', Okyar M. 🟨,
78', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
78', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
82', Kanga G. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
83', Beyaz O. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
84', Benny ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
89', Kosoko T. 🟨,
90+2', Alic E. 🟨,
90+2', Amilton 🟨,
90+3', Amilton ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Erokspor
62.2%

Draw
22.9%

Umraniyespor
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

19.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Erokspor - Umraniyespor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.39)	4.15 ↓ (4.79)	6.2 ↓ (6.61)	7.6% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Erokspor - Umraniyespor?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Umraniyespor (2.48) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Umraniyespor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 15).
Erokspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Umraniyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Erokspor is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Erokspor: Gedik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended)
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y. (Suspended)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Umraniyespor?

Erokspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Erokspor?

Umraniyespor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:

30.08.2025 Umraniyespor - Erokspor 0:2

14.04.2025 Umraniyespor - Erokspor 1:1

09.12.2024 Erokspor - Umraniyespor 0:1

Latest results of Erokspor

24.01.2026 Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor 0:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Erokspor - Vanspor 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Adana Demirspor - Erokspor 0:5 ✺

27.12.2025 Pendikspor - Erokspor 0:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Erokspor - Sarıyer 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Umraniyespor

25.01.2026 Hatayspor - Umraniyespor 0:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor 5:0 ✺

12.01.2026 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 1:0 ✺

28.12.2025 Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor 3:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Umraniyespor - Adana Demirspor 5:0 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	32	20	9	3	74:23	51	69
2	Amedspor	32	20	7	5	68:32	36	67
3	Erokspor	32	18	9	5	73:30	43	63
4	Corum	32	19	5	8	53:34	19	62
5	Bodrumspor	32	17	6	9	67:35	32	57
6	Pendikspor	32	14	12	6	49:27	22	54
7	Bandirmaspor	32	13	9	10	42:33	9	48
8	Keciorengucu	32	12	11	9	63:40	23	47
9	Sivasspor	32	12	11	9	40:31	9	47
10	Igdir FK	32	12	9	11	40:44	-4	45
11	Vanspor FK	32	11	10	11	42:35	7	43
12	Manisa FK	32	12	7	13	46:52	-6	43
13	Boluspor	32	12	6	14	50:44	6	42
14	Umraniyespor	32	11	6	15	38:41	-3	39
15	Sariyer	32	11	6	15	34:41	-7	39
16	Istanbulspor AS	32	9	12	11	38:48	-10	39
17	Serik Spor	32	10	5	17	38:60	-22	35
18	Sakaryaspor	32	8	8	16	41:56	-15	32
19	Hatayspor	32	0	7	25	22:88	-66	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	0	3	29	17:141	-124	-57

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to