Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue
Result
2:2
12/05/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 37
  • Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
810
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
25
Blocked Shots
10
Free Kicks
611
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
21
Throw-ins
1324
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
95
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
4658
Dangerous Attacks
2426

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Knoll M. 🟨,
  • 14', Pledl T. , Esswein A. ,
  • 15', Meuer S. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Seitz S. , Tashchy B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Inanoglu K. , Pusch K. ,
  • 52', Seitz S. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Esswein A. , Michelbrink J. (A),
  • 61', 1 - 2, Stefaniak M. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Engin A. (Pen),
  • 68', Knoll M. , Bakalorz M. ,
  • 70', Meuer S. , Thiel M. ,
  • 70', Seitz S. , Sijaric O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Duisburg
35.7%
Draw
26.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 25.5% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 25.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.33)
    3.53
    (3.65)
    2.48
    (2.69)
    7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Aue will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.9%93.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Duisburg is Relegated to
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 2.
    • Duisburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aue is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    09.12.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg 1:1
    05.05.2023 Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    08.11.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg 0:2
    Latest results of Duisburg
    03.05.2024 Lübeck - Duisburg 5:3
    27.04.2024 Duisburg - Sandhausen 3:1
    20.04.2024 Ingolstadt - Duisburg 2:0
    07.04.2024 Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg 4:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1RW Essen00000:000
    2Verl00000:000
    3Regensburg00000:000
    4Stuttgart II00000:000
    5Ingolstadt00000:000
    6TSV Havelse00000:000
    7Cottbus00000:000
    8Hansa Rostock00000:000
    9Duisburg00000:000
    10Alemannia Aachen00000:000
    11Wehen00000:000
    12Munich 186000000:000
    13VfL Osnabruck00000:000
    14Aue00000:000
    15Mannheim00000:000
    16Ulm00000:000
    17Saarbrucken00000:000
    18Schweinfurt00000:000
    19Hoffenheim II00000:000
    20Viktoria Koln00000:000

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