Elversberg vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Elversberg
67.1%
Draw
19.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21.7% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 20.7% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.5)
    4.83
    (4.27)
    6.82
    (5.53)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • Recent matches Elversberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aue is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Elversberg is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    15.04.2023 Osnabrück - Elversberg 1:0
    25.03.2023 Verl - Elversberg 1:2
    19.03.2023 Elversberg - Hallescher 1:1
    14.03.2023 1860 München - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck30187550:262461
    2RW Essen301510561:491255
    3Verl30159670:412954
    4Duisburg30159654:411354
    5Cottbus30159655:441154
    6Hansa Rostock301411553:322153
    7Munich 186030147946:39749
    8Wehen301461042:33948
    9Mannheim301431349:54-545
    10Alemannia Aachen301351253:51244
    11Ingolstadt3010101050:41940
    12Regensburg301161342:45-339
    13Viktoria Koln301151441:41038
    14Stuttgart II301151436:49-1338
    15Hoffenheim II301051553:54-135
    16Saarbrucken307121140:46-633
    17Ulm30741939:62-2325
    18Aue30591634:54-2024
    19TSV Havelse30581743:69-2623
    20Schweinfurt30522329:69-4017

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation