Elversberg vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Elversberg
67.1%
Draw
19.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21.7% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 20.7% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.5)
    4.83
    (4.27)
    6.82
    (5.53)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • Recent matches Elversberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aue is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Elversberg is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    15.04.2023 Osnabrück - Elversberg 1:0
    25.03.2023 Verl - Elversberg 1:2
    19.03.2023 Elversberg - Hallescher 1:1
    14.03.2023 1860 München - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck33207655:272867
    2RW Essen331810569:511864
    3Cottbus33179761:451660
    4Duisburg33179759:431660
    5Hansa Rostock331611662:372559
    6Verl331510872:452755
    7Alemannia Aachen331561260:53751
    8Munich 1860331491049:45451
    9Wehen331461344:42248
    10Viktoria Koln331451448:45347
    11Mannheim331451452:60-847
    12Regensburg331271446:50-443
    13Stuttgart II331261541:54-1342
    14Ingolstadt3310101352:48440
    15Hoffenheim II331171560:59140
    16Saarbrucken338131242:49-737
    17TSV Havelse33781849:73-2429
    18Ulm33852042:68-2629
    19Aue335101838:61-2325
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 33532531:77-4618

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to