Wehen Wiesbaden vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 16
  • Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyDFB Play, Magenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
95
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
138
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
94
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
129
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Majetschak E. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 30', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Janitzek J. , May N. (A),
  • 60', Gozusirin T. 🟨,
  • 61', Flotho M. , Agrafiotis N. ,
  • 61', Wohlers O. , Schleimer L. ,
  • 69', Seiffert M. , Collins J. ,
  • 69', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 73', Bogicevic D. , Kaya F. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Bogicevic D. , Johansson R. (A),
  • 79', Tashchy B. , Simnica L. ,
  • 79', Ehlers J. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 87', Gillekens J. 🟨,
  • 88', Gozusirin T. , Lewald J. ,
  • 89', Johansson R. , Greilinger F. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Agrafiotis N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wehen Wiesbaden
43.3%
Draw
26.2%
Erzgebirge Aue
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 25.1% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 24.9% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.05)
    3.58
    (3.7)
    3.07
    (3.13)
    7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Aue will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 32%80.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erzgebirge Aue will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 2.
    • Recent form of Wehen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aue has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wehen could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wehen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue 0:2
    24.09.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Wehen Wiesbaden 2:1
    17.02.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Wehen Wiesbaden
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck29177549:262358
    2Cottbus29158654:431153
    3RW Essen291410559:481152
    4Verl29149667:412651
    5Duisburg29149652:401251
    6Hansa Rostock291311552:322050
    7Munich 186029147845:37849
    8Wehen29146942:321048
    9Mannheim291331347:53-642
    10Alemannia Aachen291251251:50141
    11Ingolstadt291010949:391040
    12Viktoria Koln291151340:39138
    13Stuttgart II291151335:46-1138
    14Regensburg291061337:43-636
    15Hoffenheim II291051453:53035
    16Saarbrucken297121040:43-333
    17Aue29591533:52-1924
    18Ulm29731938:61-2324
    19TSV Havelse29581641:64-2323
    20Schweinfurt29422326:68-4214

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