Wehen Wiesbaden vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 16
  • Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyDFB Play, Magenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
95
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
138
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
94
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
129
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Majetschak E. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 30', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Janitzek J. , May N. (A),
  • 60', Gozusirin T. 🟨,
  • 61', Flotho M. , Agrafiotis N. ,
  • 61', Wohlers O. , Schleimer L. ,
  • 69', Seiffert M. , Collins J. ,
  • 69', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 73', Bogicevic D. , Kaya F. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Bogicevic D. , Johansson R. (A),
  • 79', Tashchy B. , Simnica L. ,
  • 79', Ehlers J. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 87', Gillekens J. 🟨,
  • 88', Gozusirin T. , Lewald J. ,
  • 89', Johansson R. , Greilinger F. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Agrafiotis N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wehen Wiesbaden
43.3%
Draw
26.2%
Erzgebirge Aue
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 25.1% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 24.9% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.05)
    3.58
    (3.7)
    3.07
    (3.13)
    7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Aue will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 32%80.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Erzgebirge Aue will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 2.
    • Recent form of Wehen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Aue has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wehen could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wehen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue 0:2
    24.09.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Wehen Wiesbaden 2:1
    17.02.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Wehen Wiesbaden
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck32197654:272764
    2RW Essen321710565:501561
    3Cottbus32179661:441760
    4Duisburg32169755:421357
    5Hansa Rostock321511657:362156
    6Verl32159871:442754
    7Munich 1860321481047:43450
    8Alemannia Aachen321461257:52548
    9Wehen321461243:40348
    10Mannheim321451351:56-547
    11Viktoria Koln321351446:44244
    12Regensburg321261444:48-442
    13Stuttgart II321261440:51-1142
    14Ingolstadt3210101251:44740
    15Hoffenheim II321161559:58139
    16Saarbrucken328131142:47-537
    17Ulm32851941:63-2229
    18TSV Havelse32681847:73-2626
    19Aue32591837:60-2324
    20Schweinfurt32522530:76-4617

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