Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (283/373) | 63% (158/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (283/373) | 63% (158/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 36% (26/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (83/132) | 39% (27/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Akbas M. 🟨,
- 21', Serginho 🟨,
- 44', Sylla C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Doh M. 🟨,
- 58', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 61', Azubuike O. ↓, Tas M. ↑,
- 68', Tas M. 🟨,
- 69', Tas M. 🟨,
- 79', Roshi O. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
- 81', Doh M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 86', Sylla C. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
- 87', Dadakdeniz A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Dovedan N. (A),
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', Gurpuz G. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
44.2% | Draw
30.4% | Erzurumspor
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.05) |
3.04 ↓
(3.21) |
3.65 ↑
(3.53) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 3.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Erzurumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Karagümrük will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Erzurumspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Erzurumspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
24.11.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
