Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Erzurumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 32
  • Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.11
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
76% (283/373)63% (158/250)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.03
Total shots
114
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
100
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
244
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
76% (283/373)63% (158/250)
Long passes
37% (18/49)36% (26/73)
Passes in final third
63% (83/132)39% (27/69)
Crosses
28% (8/29)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.19
Fouls
1319
Tackles
75% (9/12)84% (16/19)
Duels won
5445
Clearances Total
1931
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.030.85
Goals prevented
0.03-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Akbas M. 🟨,
  • 21', Serginho 🟨,
  • 44', Sylla C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Doh M. 🟨,
  • 58', Camacho J. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 61', Azubuike O. , Tas M. ,
  • 68', Tas M. 🟨,
  • 69', Tas M. 🟨,
  • 79', Roshi O. , Sarikaya S. ,
  • 81', Doh M. , Gray A. ,
  • 86', Sylla C. , Kirtay Y. ,
  • 87', Dadakdeniz A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes , Dovedan N. (A),
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+8', Gurpuz G. , Demirol A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
44.2%
Draw
30.4%
Erzurumspor
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28.8% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 28.4% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.05)
    3.04
    (3.21)
    3.65
    (3.53)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor?
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 3.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Erzurumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Karagümrük will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O. (Inactive)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:3
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    28.03.2025 Erzurumspor - Manisa FK 1:0
    16.03.2025 Amed SK - Erzurumspor 0:1
    06.03.2025 Erzurumspor - Pendikspor 2:4
    02.03.2025 Boluspor - Erzurumspor 0:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK22004:226
    3Erzurumspor21104:224
    4Pendikspor21103:124
    5Keciorengucu21103:124
    6Sakaryaspor21104:314
    7Serik Spor21101:014
    8Igdir FK21014:403
    9Manisa FK21013:303
    10Umraniyespor21012:203
    11Bodrumspor20202:202
    12Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    13Boluspor20113:4-11
    14Erokspor20112:3-11
    15Sariyer30123:5-21
    16Amedspor20112:4-21
    17Sivasspor20111:3-21
    18Bandirmaspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor20112:5-3-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation