Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.11 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
76% (283/373) | 63% (158/250) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 0.11 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 0 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 4 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
76% (283/373) | 63% (158/250) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (18/49) | 36% (26/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (83/132) | 39% (27/69) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (8/29) | 40% (2/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.08 | 0.19 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 84% (16/19) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 45 |
Clearances Total |
---|
19 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.03 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Akbas M. 🟨,
- 21', Serginho 🟨,
- 44', Sylla C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Doh M. 🟨,
- 58', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 61', Azubuike O. ↓, Tas M. ↑,
- 68', Tas M. 🟨,
- 69', Tas M. 🟨,
- 79', Roshi O. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
- 81', Doh M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 86', Sylla C. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
- 87', Dadakdeniz A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Dovedan N. (A),
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', Gurpuz G. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor 44.2% | Draw 30.4% | Erzurumspor 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↑ (2.05) |
3.04 ↓ (3.21) |
3.65 ↑ (3.53) |
8.2% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 3.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Erzurumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Karagümrük will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Erzurumspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Erzurumspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
24.11.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Adana Demirspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Istanbulspor AS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Sakaryaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Amedspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Hatayspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Sariyer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sivasspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Boluspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Vanspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Bandirmaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Keciorengucu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Umraniyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Erzurumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Corum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bodrumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Manisa FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Erokspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Serik Spor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Igdir FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation