Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (283/373) | 63% (158/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (283/373) | 63% (158/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 36% (26/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (83/132) | 39% (27/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Akbas M. 🟨,
- 21', Serginho 🟨,
- 44', Sylla C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Doh M. 🟨,
- 58', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 61', Azubuike O. ↓, Tas M. ↑,
- 68', Tas M. 🟨,
- 69', Tas M. 🟨,
- 79', Roshi O. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
- 81', Doh M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 86', Sylla C. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
- 87', Dadakdeniz A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Dovedan N. (A),
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', Gurpuz G. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
44.2% | Draw
30.4% | Erzurumspor
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.05) |
3.04 ↓
(3.21) |
3.65 ↑
(3.53) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 3.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Erzurumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Karagümrük will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Erzurumspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Erzurumspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
24.11.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hatayspor is Relegated to
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
