Result
1:0
25/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Ndala J. (Drc)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 376 | 545 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 295 | 456 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 83 | 101 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 50 | 38 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Aholou R. (Own goal),
- 20', Aholou R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ben Ali M. ↓, Bouchniba R. ↑,
- 67', Tau P. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
- 76', Ghacha H. ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
- 76', Teka H. ↓, Ogbelu O. ↑,
- 78', Abou Ali W. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
- 78', Ateya M. ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 85', Aholou R. ↓, Bouguerra O. ↑,
- 85', Yan Sasse ↓, Ben Hammouda M. ↑,
- 87', Ogbelu O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ashour E. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
- 90+2', El Shahat H. ↓, Yasser Ibrahim ↑,
- 90+5', Ben Hamida M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
60.9% | Draw
26.5% | Espérance ST
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Ahly Cairo's performance.Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espérance ST might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-29.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Ahly Cairo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+23.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espérance ST could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(2.9) |
3.49 ↑
(2.8) |
7.34 ↑
(2.5) |
8%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ahly Cairo won 4.
- Al Ahly Cairo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Espérance ST is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Al Ahly Cairo is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Al Ahly Cairo to win the game is with odds 1.55.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Al Ahly Cairo won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly Cairo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Espérance ST?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Espérance ST has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST were as follows:
18.05.2024
Espérance ST
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:0
19.05.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Espérance ST
1:0
12.05.2023
Espérance ST
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:3
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Espérance ST
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Esperance Tunis | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | MC Alger | Orlando Pirates | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Pyramids | FAR Rabat | 0 : 2, 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Al Ahly | 1 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | Pyramids | 2 : 3, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Pyramids | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
