Al Ahly Cairo vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Jayed J. (Mar)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport OTT 3
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.501.15
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
97
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
74
Passes
88% (500/567)75% (215/288)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.501.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.631.73
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
125
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
129
Passes
88% (500/567)75% (215/288)
Long passes
58% (33/57)33% (13/40)
Passes in final third
81% (154/190)57% (39/69)
Crosses
31% (11/35)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.16
Throw ins
2019
Fouls
912
Tackles
92% (12/13)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4835
Clearances
1033
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
47
xGOT faced
1.731.63
Goals prevented
-1.270.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Trezeguet ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', Diarra J. , Yan Sasse ,
  • 63', Tougai M. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Danho F. ,
  • 70', Keita I. 🟨,
  • 74', Boualia K. , Haj Ali M. ,
  • 74', Danho F. , Diakite A. ,
  • 76', Attia M. , Otaka M. ,
  • 77', Reyad H. , El Shahat H. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Tougai M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', 2 - 2, Jelassi H. (Own goal),
  • 85', Ashour E. , Ieltsin Camoes ,
  • 89', Tka H. 🟨,
  • 90', Tka H. , Guenichi K. ,
  • 90', Konate A. , Msakni Y. ,
  • 90+2', Hany M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Jelassi H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al Ahly Cairo
61%
Draw
25.4%
Espérance ST
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 23.7% 11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 22.7% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.39)
    3.64
    (3.8)
    6.77
    (7.75)
    8.8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-1. No spectators. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 3.
    • Recent performances by Al Ahly have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Espérance ST is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al Ahly is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST were as follows:
    15.03.2026 Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo 1:0
    25.05.2024 Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST 1:0
    18.05.2024 Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0
    19.05.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST 1:0
    12.05.2023 Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo 0:3
    Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
    Latest results of Espérance ST
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Esperance TunisAl Ahly3 : 2, 1 : 0
    2Mamelodi SundownsStade Malien0 : 2, 3 : 0
    3FAR RabatPyramids2 : 1, 1 : 1
    4BerkaneAl-Hilal Omdurman1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Esperance TunisMamelodi Sundowns
    2FAR RabatBerkane

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2