Estoril Praia vs Farense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Estoril Praia - Farense
Result
2:2
08/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.18
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1314
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
78
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
47
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Free Kicks
1817
Offsides
06
Fouls
1718
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
2118
Touches in the Opposition Box
1921
Passes
80% (333/417)64% (186/292)
Passes in the final third
69% (94/137)49% (43/87)
Crosses
32% (6/19)26% (5/19)
Tackles
60% (6/10)50% (13/26)
Clearances Total
2926
Interceptions
99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Vinicius Zanocelo , Guitane R. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 0, Marques A. ,
  • 61', Matias M. , Balde E. ,
  • 61', Ribeiro T. , Menino M. ,
  • 61', Jorge A. , Costa R. ,
  • 67', Marques A. , Begraoui Y. ,
  • 73', Ze Carlos , Soares F. ,
  • 73', Rony Lopes , Njie Y. ,
  • 78', Guitane R. , Lacximicant A. ,
  • 85', Lacximicant A. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Costa R. ,
  • 87', Jandro , Garcia Andrade F. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Menino M. , Soares F. (A),
  • 90+5', Boma K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estoril Praia
38.4%
Draw
31.2%
Farense
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 28.8% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 28.4% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estoril Praia's form might have worsened.
  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Estoril Praia - Farense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.07)
    3.06
    (3.28)
    3.13
    (3.65)
    5.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Farense?
  • Users Predictions: Estoril Praia will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2.
    • Estoril is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Farense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Estoril will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Estoril: Carvalho J. (Red Card) Xeka (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Estoril won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Farense were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Farense - Estoril Praia 1:0
    05.05.2024 Farense - Estoril Praia 3:2
    30.12.2023 Estoril Praia - Farense 4:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Latest results of Farense
    02.03.2025 Farense - AVS 0:1
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    16.02.2025 Farense - Porto 0:1
    09.02.2025 Farense - Nacional 0:2
    02.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Farense 3:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2