Result
2:2
08/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (333/417) | 64% (186/292) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (94/137) | 49% (43/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 26% (5/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (13/26) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 0, Vinicius Zanocelo ⚽, Guitane R. (A),
- 55', 2 - 0, Marques A. ⚽,
- 61', Matias M. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 61', Ribeiro T. ↓, Menino M. ↑,
- 61', Jorge A. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 67', Marques A. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
- 73', Ze Carlos ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 73', Rony Lopes ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
- 78', Guitane R. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 85', Lacximicant A. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Costa R. ⚽,
- 87', Jandro ↓, Garcia Andrade F. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Menino M. ⚽, Soares F. (A),
- 90+5', Boma K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
38.4% | Draw
31.2% | Farense
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estoril Praia's form might have worsened.Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-5%)
Estoril Praia - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.07) |
3.06 ↓
(3.28) |
3.13 ↓
(3.65) |
5.2%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Farense?
Users Predictions:
Estoril Praia will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2.
- Estoril is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Farense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Estoril will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Estoril: Carvalho J.
(Red Card)
Xeka
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Estoril won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Farense?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Estoril Praia?
Farense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Farense were as follows:
06.10.2024
Farense
-
Estoril Praia
1:0
05.05.2024
Farense
-
Estoril Praia
3:2
30.12.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Farense
4:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
