Result
2:2
23/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 23
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/381) | 67% (159/237) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (57/89) | 51% (47/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 38% (8/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 82% (9/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Jorge A. 🟨,
- 42', Derick Poloni 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Derick Poloni ⚽, Jorge A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gozalbez P. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 46', Araujo H. ↓, Jason ↑,
- 53', Simao D. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Trezza A. ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 1, Nandin D. ⚽, Lamba C. (A),
- 72', Jorge A. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 72', Derick Poloni ↓, Lucas Africo ↑,
- 72', Soares F. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 79', Sylla M. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
- 82', Fukui T. 🟨,
- 82', Simao D. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
- 86', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 88', Menino M. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 88', Moreno M. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Tomane ⚽,
- 90+7', Fukui T. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arouca
51% | Draw
27.3% | Farense
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Arouca - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.87) |
3.46 ↑
(3.43) |
4.37 ↑
(4.24) |
5.9%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Farense?
Users Predictions:
Arouca will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 2.
- Arouca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Farense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Arouca is a favorite.
- There will not play in Arouca: Mantl N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Farense: Ze Carlos
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Farense: Neto
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Farense?
Arouca has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Arouca?
Farense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Farense were as follows:
23.11.2024
Arouca
-
Farense
1:2
22.09.2024
Farense
-
Arouca
0:1
30.03.2024
Arouca
-
Farense
2:1
06.11.2023
Farense
-
Arouca
2:0
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
