Noia vs Estradense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Delgado A. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, ,
  • 43', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Noia
22.4%
Draw
29.8%
Estradense
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 28.4% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 28% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noia's form might have worsened.
  • Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Noia - Estradense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.12
    (3.17)
    3.09
    (3.2)
    1.93
    (2.12)
    8.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Noia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Estradense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Noia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Estradense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Noia - Estradense were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Estradense - Noia 2:0
    17.05.2025 Noia - Estradense 1:1
    01.11.2024 Estradense - Noia 0:0
    Latest results of Noia
    01.11.2025 Somozas - Noia 1:0
    25.10.2025 Noia - Montañeros 1:3
    19.10.2025 Arosa - Noia 5:2
    12.10.2025 Noia - Atlético Arteixo 2:3
    05.10.2025 Viveiro - Noia 0:1
    Latest results of Estradense
    01.11.2025 Estradense - RC Villalbes 0:0
    26.10.2025 Barbadás - Estradense 0:4
    19.10.2025 Estradense - Alondras 4:0
    11.10.2025 Lugo B - Estradense 2:0
    05.10.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation