Result
2:0
26/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sport TV Africa |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2, COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3, Sportklub |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Slovenia | Sportklub |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.43 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
32% | 68% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
70% (147/209) | 86% (384/447) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.43 | 0.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.59 | 0.63 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
5 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
70% (147/209) | 86% (384/447) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (18/49) | 54% (20/37) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (33/53) | 74% (96/129) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 19% (6/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.49 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (13/23) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
49 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.63 | 1.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.63 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Vieira F. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Kikas ⚽, Bucca L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gul D. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 53', Varela A. 🟨,
- 55', Drame I. 🟨,
- 60', Claudio Ramos 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 0, Ruiz A. (Pen),
- 66', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 66', Moura F. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 66', Eustaquio S. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 68', Bucca L. ↓, Chico Banza ↑,
- 68', Jovane 🟨,
- 77', Pepê ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 80', Moreira P. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 80', Ruiz A. ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 80', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 87', Varela A. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 90', Montoia G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jovane ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
- 90+7', Amine 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora 15.4% | Draw 24.4% | Porto 60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrela da Amadora - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.14 ↓ (7.99) |
3.88 ↓ (4.69) |
1.57 ↑ (1.38) |
5.7% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Porto?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Porto will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 57.7% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Estrela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Porto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Porto is a favorite.
- There will not play in Estrela: Lopes M.
(Injury)
Varela N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Porto: Borges G.
(Red Card)
Costa D.
(Buttock Injury)
Grujic M.
(Heel Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
William Gomes
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Fabio Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Mina J.
(Inactive)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Porto?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Estrela da Amadora?
Porto has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Porto were as follows:
16.12.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
17.02.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
15.09.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Porto
0:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2