Result
2:0
26/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2, COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3, Sportklub |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (147/209) | 86% (384/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (147/209) | 86% (384/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 54% (20/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 74% (96/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 19% (6/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Vieira F. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Kikas ⚽, Bucca L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gul D. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 53', Varela A. 🟨,
- 55', Drame I. 🟨,
- 60', Claudio Ramos 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 0, Ruiz A. (Pen),
- 66', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 66', Moura F. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 66', Eustaquio S. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 68', Bucca L. ↓, Chico Banza ↑,
- 68', Jovane 🟨,
- 77', Pepê ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 80', Moreira P. ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 80', Ruiz A. ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 80', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 87', Varela A. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 90', Montoia G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jovane ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
- 90+7', Amine 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
15.4% | Draw
24.4% | Porto
60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrela da Amadora - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.14 ↓
(7.99) |
3.88 ↓
(4.69) |
1.57 ↑
(1.38) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Porto?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Porto will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 57.7% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Estrela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Porto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Porto is a favorite.
- There will not play in Estrela: Lopes M.
(Injury)
Varela N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Porto: Borges G.
(Red Card)
Costa D.
(Buttock Injury)
Grujic M.
(Heel Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
William Gomes
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Fabio Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Mina J.
(Inactive)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Porto?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Estrela da Amadora?
Porto has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Porto were as follows:
16.12.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
17.02.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
15.09.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Porto
0:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
