Result
16/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (506/583) | 80% (295/369) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (93/126) | 67% (66/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 30% (3/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 69% (11/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Handel T. ⚽,
- 12', Ferro 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 57', Mendes J. ↓, Miguel Maga ↑,
- 58', Mendes J. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Arcanjo T. ⚽, Oliveira N. (A),
- 69', Moreira P. ↓, Jovane ↑,
- 69', Lima R. ↓, Kikas ↑,
- 77', Chico Banza ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 77', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
- 77', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 78', Arcanjo T. ↓, Embalo U. ↑,
- 82', Keliano M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 90', Bucca L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Felix V. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
61.1% | Draw
24.6% | Estrela da Amadora
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães's form might have worsened.Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.42) |
3.87 ↓
(4.26) |
6.67 ↓
(8.47) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 65% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Guimarães is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo Silva
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Estrela: Amine
(Inactive)
Drame I.
(Injury)
Leo Cordeiro
(Injury)
Rodrigo Pinho
(Yellow Cards)
Tiago Ferreira
(Inactive)
Varela N.
(Inactive)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Estrela da Amadora?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
27.10.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
21.01.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
13.08.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
