Result
14/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
30.5% | Draw
30% | Vitoria Guimarães
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.52) |
3.12 ↓
(3.33) |
2.39 ↑
(2.09) |
6.1%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Guimarães will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Samu
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Kikas
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Injury)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Rodrigo Pinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Estrela da Amadora?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
27.10.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
21.01.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
13.08.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Estoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Arouca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Estrela | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | AFS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
