Mensajero vs Estrella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
06/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Nieto V. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 73', 2 - 1, Ankudinov D. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Cabezola D. ,

Chances of winning


Mensajero
64.8%
Draw
21.9%
Estrella
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 20.5% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7% 20.2% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Estrella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Mensajero - Estrella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.35)
    4.15
    (4.4)
    6.83
    (7)
    10%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mensajero - Estrella?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Mensajero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estrella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mensajero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mensajero is certain favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.8:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mensajero - Estrella were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Estrella - Mensajero 1:3
    16.04.2023 Mensajero - Estrella 2:1
    17.12.2022 Estrella - Mensajero 0:1
    Latest results of Mensajero
    23.03.2025 Mensajero - Ibarra 2:2
    01.03.2025 Tamaraceite - Mensajero 0:1
    23.02.2025 Mensajero - Las Palmas B 1:0
    Latest results of Estrella
    29.03.2025 Estrella - Lanzarote 1:1
    21.03.2025 Arucas - Estrella 2:0
    07.03.2025 Unión Viera - Estrella 0:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso331812350:183266
    2San Fernando33199549:222766
    3Mensajero33179750:311960
    4Tamaraceite33186951:351660
    5Las Palmas C33159958:411754
    6Panaderia33159947:331454
    7Tenerife C331410949:45452
    8Lanzarote3312111045:36947
    9Villa Santa Brigida331451439:35447
    10Real Union Tenerife331281334:32244
    11CD Marino338151043:38539
    12Yaiza331071633:43-1037
    13San Miguel33991536:43-736
    14San Bartolome337121429:55-2633
    15Herbania337101638:57-1931
    16Arucas336121529:46-1730
    17SD Tenisca33672031:63-3225
    18Telde335101830:68-3825

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation