Estrella vs Santa Úrsula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Estrella - Santa Úrsula
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 32

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Estrella
30.7%
Draw
28.1%
Santa Úrsula
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 28.9% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estrella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrella's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Úrsula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Úrsula's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Úrsula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Estrella - Santa Úrsula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.32)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    2.23
    (2.81)
    8.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Estrella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Santa Úrsula is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Estrella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrella won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Estrella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estrella - Santa Úrsula were as follows:
    08.01.2025 Santa Úrsula - Estrella 0:0
    11.02.2023 Santa Úrsula - Estrella 2:0
    08.10.2022 Estrella - Santa Úrsula 2:1
    Latest results of Estrella
    17.04.2025 Buzanada - Estrella 1:1
    12.04.2025 Estrella - Marino 2:2
    06.04.2025 Mensajero - Estrella 3:2
    29.03.2025 Estrella - Lanzarote 1:1
    21.03.2025 Arucas - Estrella 2:0
    Latest results of Santa Úrsula
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2