Ibarra vs Santa Úrsula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Lias Montero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Ibarra
59.4%
Draw
24%
Santa Úrsula
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 25.2% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ibarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Santa Úrsula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Ibarra - Santa Úrsula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.55)
    3.81
    (3.6)
    5.51
    (5.58)
    9.6%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2.
    • Ibarra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Santa Úrsula is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ibarra is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ibarra - Santa Úrsula were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Santa Úrsula - Ibarra 2:3
    28.03.2024 Santa Úrsula - Ibarra 1:0
    10.11.2023 Ibarra - Santa Úrsula 1:0
    20.01.2023 Ibarra - Santa Úrsula 0:2
    17.09.2022 Santa Úrsula - Ibarra 3:0
    Latest results of Ibarra
    04.04.2025 Buzanada - Ibarra 2:1
    28.03.2025 Ibarra - Marino 2:1
    23.03.2025 Mensajero - Ibarra 2:2
    15.03.2025 Ibarra - Lanzarote 2:0
    08.03.2025 Arucas - Ibarra 1:2
    Latest results of Santa Úrsula
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso331812350:183266
    2San Fernando33199549:222766
    3Mensajero33179750:311960
    4Tamaraceite33186951:351660
    5Las Palmas C33159958:411754
    6Panaderia33159947:331454
    7Tenerife C331410949:45452
    8Lanzarote3312111045:36947
    9Villa Santa Brigida331451439:35447
    10Real Union Tenerife331281334:32244
    11CD Marino338151043:38539
    12Yaiza331071633:43-1037
    13San Miguel33991536:43-736
    14San Bartolome337121429:55-2633
    15Herbania337101638:57-1931
    16Arucas336121529:46-1730
    17SD Tenisca33672031:63-3225
    18Telde335101830:68-3825

          Promotion
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          Relegation