Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/03/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.641.37
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
21
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
82
Passes
70% (260/371)71% (242/343)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.641.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.061.00
Total shots
178
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
93
Shots outside the box
85
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
104
Passes
70% (260/371)71% (242/343)
Long passes
43% (36/83)39% (28/72)
Passes in final third
60% (87/145)54% (57/106)
Crosses
29% (12/41)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.44
Throw ins
3427
Fouls
410
Tackles
81% (17/21)72% (18/25)
Duels won
6353
Clearances
2335
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.000.06
Goals prevented
0.000.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 40', Sporle A. , Mavilla J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Hernandes R. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Gonzalez F. ,
  • 62', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 65', Cabrera A. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 65', Garnerone M. , Alanis G. ,
  • 73', Cobos F. , Ostchega T. ,
  • 73', Romero F. , Rosane S. ,
  • 78', Velazquez J. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 79', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Falcon A. ,
  • 79', Vazquez F. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 81', Valiente M. , Abila R. ,
  • 90+5', Rosane S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
27.7%
Draw
33.2%
Belgrano
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 30.1% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 29.9% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (3.68)
    2.86
    (3.08)
    2.43
    (2.08)
    5.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • E Río Cuarto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Belgrano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • E Río Cuarto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Belgrano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in E Río Cuarto: Fenoglio V. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez L. (Inactive) Ruiz M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Reyna B. (Inactive) Ricca F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in E Río Cuarto: Bajamich M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1153317:14318
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9San Lorenzo1135311:12-114
    10Platense113536:7-114
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra110743:7-47
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Argentinos Jrs1155110:5520
    4Belgrano1154212:9319
    5Racing Club1153315:10518
    6Rosario Central1153312:9318
    7Tigre1145216:10617
    8Barracas Central1144310:9116
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi110563:13-105
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)