Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
73% (247/337) | 85% (377/442) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.65 | 1.21 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
73% (247/337) | 85% (377/442) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (28/63) | 50% (25/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (39/73) | 75% (87/116) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/16) | 40% (10/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.15 | 1.71 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (21/26) | 40% (4/10) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.21 | 0.65 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.21 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Jara F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ostchega T. ↓, Baldi A. ↑,
- 56', Perez Fabricio ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Compagnucci G. (A),
- 74', Sanchez U. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
- 75', Amondarain M. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
- 76', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 76', Medina C. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez F. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
- 90+1', Mavilla J. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
- 90+1', Arzamendia S. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- 90+3', Heredia G. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Compagnucci G. (Own goal),
- 90+7', Menossi L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belgrano 36.5% | Draw 32% | Estudiantes La Plata 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↑ (2.33) |
2.93 ↓ (2.98) |
3 ↓ (3.23) |
6.1% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.6% – 86.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.
- Belgrano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Estudiantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Heredia G.
(Inactive)
Ricca F.
(Muscle Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Benedetti G.
(Knee Injury)
Burgos J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Gonzalez Pirez L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Belgrano has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Belgrano?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
04.04.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Belgrano
0:1
09.12.2024
Belgrano
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:2
28.01.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Belgrano
1:0
17.08.2023
Belgrano
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:1
22.07.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Belgrano
4:0
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
7 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
12 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
2 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
3 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 24 |
5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
7 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Instituto | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
15 | Independiente | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)