Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/337) | 85% (377/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/337) | 85% (377/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 75% (87/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 40% (10/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (21/26) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.21 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Jara F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ostchega T. ↓, Baldi A. ↑,
- 56', Perez Fabricio ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Compagnucci G. (A),
- 74', Sanchez U. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
- 75', Amondarain M. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
- 76', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 76', Medina C. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez F. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
- 90+1', Mavilla J. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
- 90+1', Arzamendia S. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- 90+3', Heredia G. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Compagnucci G. (Own goal),
- 90+7', Menossi L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belgrano
36.5% | Draw
32% | Estudiantes La Plata
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.33) |
2.93 ↓
(2.98) |
3 ↓
(3.23) |
6.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 59.6% – 86.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -3 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estudiantes La Plata will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Estudiantes (votes: 27 - 93.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.
- Belgrano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Estudiantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Heredia G.
(Inactive)
Ricca F.
(Muscle Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Benedetti G.
(Knee Injury)
Burgos J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Gonzalez Pirez L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Belgrano has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Belgrano?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
04.04.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Belgrano
0:1
09.12.2024
Belgrano
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:2
28.01.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Belgrano
1:0
17.08.2023
Belgrano
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:1
22.07.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Belgrano
4:0
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
