Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 28

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
03
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
55
Corner kicks
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Getachew B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', 1 - 1, Yasin Y. ,

Chances of winning


Ethiopia Bunna
39.7%
Draw
31.4%
Arba Minch
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 29% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 28% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.
  • Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.01)
    2.91
    (3.17)
    3.16
    (3.65)
    9.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ethiopia Bunna might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna 0:0
    02.06.2025 Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna 1:0
    04.12.2024 Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch 2:0
    19.04.2023 Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna 1:1
    27.10.2022 Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch 2:0
    Latest results of Ethiopia Bunna
    Latest results of Arba Minch
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna291510435:171855
    2Mechal291211636:221447
    3Negele Arsi Ketema291112627:20745
    4Hawassa291110831:23843
    5Fasil Kenema291013619:18143
    6Ethio Electric291012722:17542
    7Ethiopia Bunna291181033:33041
    8Bahir Dar Kenema29716621:22-137
    9Sheger Ketema29715726:25136
    10St. George29991124:27-336
    11Welayta Dicha29714828:27135
    12Ethiopia Nigd Bank298111035:35035
    13Welwalo Adigrat298111026:30-435
    14Hadiya Hossana298111026:31-535
    15Ethiopian Insurance29713924:23134
    16Adama City29713925:30-534
    17Dire Dawa297121020:30-1033
    18Shire Endaselassie296121118:23-530
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta296121121:31-1030
    20Arba Menche294131221:34-1325

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