Ethiopia Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
30/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
56
Total shots
58
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Konkoni H. ,
  • 8', 1 - 1, Abubakar A. ,
  • 12', 2 - 1, Birhanu B. ,
  • 38', 2 - 2, Kebede Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 2 - 3, Beyene B. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 4, Haflz K. ,

Chances of winning


Ethiopia Bunna
40.3%
Draw
34.1%
Welwalo Adigrat
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 30.8% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 29.5% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.
  • Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.01)
    2.65
    (2.96)
    3.54
    (3.83)
    10.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 1.
    • Ethiopia Bunna is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Welwalo Adigrat's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ethiopia Bunna will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna 1:1
    29.05.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna 0:0
    10.12.2024 Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat 0:0
    Latest results of Ethiopia Bunna
    Latest results of Welwalo Adigrat
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna291510435:171855
    2Mechal291211636:221447
    3Negele Arsi Ketema291112627:20745
    4Hawassa291110831:23843
    5Fasil Kenema291013619:18143
    6Ethio Electric291012722:17542
    7Ethiopia Bunna291181033:33041
    8Bahir Dar Kenema29716621:22-137
    9Sheger Ketema29715726:25136
    10St. George29991124:27-336
    11Welayta Dicha29714828:27135
    12Ethiopia Nigd Bank298111035:35035
    13Welwalo Adigrat298111026:30-435
    14Hadiya Hossana298111026:31-535
    15Ethiopian Insurance29713924:23134
    16Adama City29713925:30-534
    17Dire Dawa297121020:30-1033
    18Shire Endaselassie296121118:23-530
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta296121121:31-1030
    20Arba Menche294131221:34-1325

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