Ethiopian Medhin vs Bahir Dar Kenema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 27

Match Stats


Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
3	5
Corner kicks
4	6
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
6	7
Corner kicks
4	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Erbo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 1, Abas A. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Ethiopian Medhin
31%

Draw
37.6%

Bahir Dar Kenema
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

32.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.53)	2.45 ↓ (2.81)	2.93 ↓ (2.98)	8.6% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopian Medhin won against Bahir Dar Kenema?

Ethiopian Medhin has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Ethiopian Medhin?

Bahir Dar Kenema has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema were as follows:

30.11.2025 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin 1:0

09.05.2025 Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:2

20.01.2025 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin 0:1

29.02.2024 Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin 0:0

08.10.2023 Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema 3:2

Latest results of Ethiopian Medhin

09.04.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin 1:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna 0:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema

10.04.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City 2:1 ✺

03.04.2026 Ethio Electric - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Ethiopia Bunna - Bahir Dar Kenema 2:0 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	29	15	10	4	35:17	18	55
2	Mechal	29	12	11	6	36:22	14	47
3	Negele Arsi Ketema	29	11	12	6	27:20	7	45
4	Hawassa	29	11	10	8	31:23	8	43
5	Fasil Kenema	29	10	13	6	19:18	1	43
6	Ethio Electric	29	10	12	7	22:17	5	42
7	Ethiopia Bunna	29	11	8	10	33:33	0	41
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	29	7	16	6	21:22	-1	37
9	Sheger Ketema	29	7	15	7	26:25	1	36
10	St. George	29	9	9	11	24:27	-3	36
11	Welayta Dicha	29	7	14	8	28:27	1	35
12	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	29	8	11	10	35:35	0	35
13	Welwalo Adigrat	29	8	11	10	26:30	-4	35
14	Hadiya Hossana	29	8	11	10	26:31	-5	35
15	Ethiopian Insurance	29	7	13	9	24:23	1	34
16	Adama City	29	7	13	9	25:30	-5	34
17	Dire Dawa	29	7	12	10	20:30	-10	33
18	Shire Endaselassie	29	6	12	11	18:23	-5	30
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	29	6	12	11	21:31	-10	30
20	Arba Menche	29	4	13	12	21:34	-13	25

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