Ethiopian Medhin vs Negele Arsi Ketema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
31
Total shots
411
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
29
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Melaku M. ,

Chances of winning


Ethiopian Medhin
40.6%
Draw
32.9%
Negele Arsi Ketema
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 30.2% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 29.1% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.
  • Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.77)
    2.77
    (3)
    3.44
    (4.88)
    9.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ethiopian Medhin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Negele Arsi Ketema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of away games.
    • Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ethiopian Medhin
    Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna21109226:111539
    2Negele Arsi Ketema22107522:14837
    3Hawassa21106524:131136
    4Mechal2297629:191034
    5Fasil Kenema2189416:13333
    6Adama City21711319:17232
    7Ethio Electric21610511:11028
    8Bahir Dar Kenema21512415:15027
    9Hadiya Hossana2176818:21-327
    10Shire Endaselassie2268815:16-126
    11Ethiopia Bunna2075817:20-326
    12St. George2167816:17-125
    13Dire Dawa21510614:21-725
    14Ethiopian Insurance2259816:17-124
    15Ethiopia Nigd Bank2259826:29-324
    16Sheger Ketema22412618:21-324
    17Welwalo Adigrat2259816:23-724
    18Welayta Dicha21410722:24-222
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta21410714:22-822
    20Arba Menche21210913:23-1016

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