Ethiopian Medhin vs Negele Arsi Ketema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
31
Total shots
411
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
29
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Melaku M. ,

Chances of winning


Ethiopian Medhin
40.6%
Draw
32.9%
Negele Arsi Ketema
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 30.2% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 29.1% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.
  • Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.77)
    2.77
    (3)
    3.44
    (4.88)
    9.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ethiopian Medhin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Negele Arsi Ketema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of away games.
    • Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ethiopian Medhin
    Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna24129330:141645
    2Hawassa24117628:181040
    3Negele Arsi Ketema24108622:16638
    4Ethio Electric24910519:13637
    5Mechal2499629:191036
    6Fasil Kenema24811517:15235
    7Adama City24712522:23-133
    8Ethiopia Bunna2395923:24-132
    9Bahir Dar Kenema24613517:17031
    10Ethiopia Nigd Bank2479832:32030
    11Sheger Ketema24612621:21030
    12Hadiya Hossana2478920:25-529
    13Ethiopian Insurance24610819:18128
    14Welwalo Adigrat24610817:23-628
    15Dire Dawa24610817:25-828
    16Welayta Dicha24512726:26027
    17Shire Endaselassie2469916:19-327
    18St. George23671016:20-425
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta24411915:25-1023
    20Arba Menche243101116:29-1319

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