Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 20
- Referee: Chatzigeorgiou P. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Giousis C. ⚽,
- 39', Jaja 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pileas K. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
- 46', David Luiz 🟨,
- 55', Sema K. 🟨,
- 65', Jaja ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
- 66', Quina D. 🟨,
- 71', Giallouros N. ↓, Siverio J. ↑,
- 75', Sema K. ↓, Odefalk W. ↑,
- 77', Flores L. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, Luckassen D. ⚽,
- 84', Siverio J. 🟨,
- 84', Papadoudis A. 🟨,
- 86', Luis Felipe 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Giousis C. ⚽,
- 90+2', Giousis C. ↓, Pechlivanis M. ↑,
- 90+9', Andereggen N. ↓, Andreou G. ↑,
- 90+10', Papageorgiou G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ethnikos Achna 13.7% | Draw 19.9% | Paphos 66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ethnikos Achna - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.77 ↓ (7.61) |
4.66 ↓ (4.9) |
1.39 ↑ (1.36) |
8.1% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Achna - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paphos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 0.
- Ethnikos Achna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paphos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ethnikos Achna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paphos is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Psaltis P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paphos: Correia J.
(Injury)
Pedrao
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ethnikos Achna won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ethnikos Achna won against Paphos?
Ethnikos Achna has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Ethnikos Achna?
Paphos has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ethnikos Achna - Paphos were as follows:
17.10.2025
Paphos
-
Ethnikos Achna
4:0
09.03.2025
Paphos
-
Ethnikos Achna
0:0
08.12.2024
Ethnikos Achna
-
Paphos
0:2
10.02.2024
Paphos
-
Ethnikos Achna
4:3
11.11.2023
Ethnikos Achna
-
Paphos
1:4
Latest results of Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | APOEL ✔ | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Aris ✔ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 40 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol ✔ | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou ✔ | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
| 9 | Anorthosis ✔ | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Chloraka ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 26 |
| 11 | Krasava ✔ | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Achnas ✔ | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5:59 | -54 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )