Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 20
- Referee: Chatzigeorgiou P. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Giousis C. ⚽,
- 39', Jaja 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pileas K. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
- 46', David Luiz 🟨,
- 55', Sema K. 🟨,
- 65', Jaja ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
- 66', Quina D. 🟨,
- 71', Giallouros N. ↓, Siverio J. ↑,
- 75', Sema K. ↓, Odefalk W. ↑,
- 77', Flores L. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, Luckassen D. ⚽,
- 84', Siverio J. 🟨,
- 84', Papadoudis A. 🟨,
- 86', Luis Felipe 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Giousis C. ⚽,
- 90+2', Giousis C. ↓, Pechlivanis M. ↑,
- 90+9', Andereggen N. ↓, Andreou G. ↑,
- 90+10', Papageorgiou G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ethnikos Achna
13.7% | Draw
19.9% | Paphos
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ethnikos Achna - Paphos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.77 ↓
(7.61) |
4.66 ↓
(4.9) |
1.39 ↑
(1.36) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Achna - Paphos?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paphos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 0.
- Ethnikos Achna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paphos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ethnikos Achna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paphos is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Psaltis P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paphos: Correia J.
(Injury)
Pedrao
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos Achna won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ethnikos Achna won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ethnikos Achna won against Paphos?
Ethnikos Achna has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Ethnikos Achna?
Paphos has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ethnikos Achna - Paphos were as follows:
17.10.2025
Paphos
-
Ethnikos Achna
4:0
09.03.2025
Paphos
-
Ethnikos Achna
0:0
08.12.2024
Ethnikos Achna
-
Paphos
0:2
10.02.2024
Paphos
-
Ethnikos Achna
4:3
11.11.2023
Ethnikos Achna
-
Paphos
1:4
Latest results of Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 50:22 | 28 | 56 |
| 3 | Apollon | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Pafos | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 54:25 | 29 | 52 |
| 5 | APOEL | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Aris | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 44 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
