Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Etincelles
32.9% | Draw
30.1% | Musanze
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Musanze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Musanze than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Etincelles - Musanze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.93) |
2.99 ↓
(3.05) |
2.43 ↑
(2.29) |
11.2%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 3.
- Etincelles is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Musanze's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Musanze?
Etincelles has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Musanze won against Etincelles?
Musanze has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Etincelles - Musanze were as follows:
13.12.2025
Musanze
-
Etincelles
1:3
01.05.2025
Etincelles
-
Musanze
3:0
30.11.2024
Musanze
-
Etincelles
0:0
17.02.2024
Musanze
-
Etincelles
1:1
10.10.2023
Etincelles
-
Musanze
Delayed
Latest results of Etincelles
Latest results of Musanze
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
