Chelsea vs Everton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Chelsea - Everton
Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 34
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Chelsea - Everton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.52
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (342/405)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.26
Total shots
106
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
1811
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
86% (422/492)84% (342/405)
Long passes
43% (24/56)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
68% (86/126)54% (42/78)
Crosses
20% (4/20)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.26
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1110
Tackles
64% (14/22)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5339
Clearances
2121
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.261.66
Goals prevented
1.260.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Jackson N. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ndiaye I. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
  • 63', Harrison J. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
  • 64', Patterson N. ↓, Young A. ↑,
  • 64', Beto ↓, Chermiti ↑,
  • 67', Lavia R. ↓, James R. ↑,
  • 78', Madueke N. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Palmer C. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Jackson N. ↓, George T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
65.1%		Draw
20.9%		Everton
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 24.8% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 24.2% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
  • Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Everton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
    •

    Chelsea - Everton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.72)    		 4.6 ↑
    (3.88)    		 6.86 ↑
    (5.06)    		 3.6%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Everton?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 45 - 78.9%). Everton will win (votes: 7 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 68.3% – 89.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Chelsea (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Everton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana D. D. (Knee Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Gusto M. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Everton: Broja A. (Loan agreement) Calvert-Lewin D. (Muscle Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Tarkowski J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32:18 (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:7 (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Everton were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Everton - Chelsea 0:0
    15.04.2024 Chelsea - Everton 6:0
    10.12.2023 Everton - Chelsea 2:0
    18.03.2023 Chelsea - Everton 2:2
    Latest results of Chelsea
    20.04.2025 Fulham - Chelsea 1:2 ✺
    17.04.2025 Chelsea - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Chelsea - Ipswich Town 2:2 ✺
    10.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Everton
    19.04.2025 Everton - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Everton 0:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Everton - Arsenal 1:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Liverpool - Everton 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Everton - West Ham United 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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