Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:3
17/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, Play Sports 4
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Moji, Vidio
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoTDM TV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, VTV Prime
worldWorldSport 24 Extra, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.031.09
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
95
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Passes
85% (388/456)87% (482/551)
Expected goals (xG)
1.031.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.231.71
Total shots
188
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
33
Blocked shots
60
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
81
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
108
Passes
85% (388/456)87% (482/551)
Long passes
39% (14/36)45% (29/65)
Passes in final third
76% (115/152)81% (77/95)
Crosses
12% (2/17)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.48
Throw ins
1911
Fouls
810
Tackles
73% (8/11)45% (9/20)
Duels won
4438
Clearances
429
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
29
xGOT faced
1.712.23
Goals prevented
-1.292.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽,
  • 14', 0 - 2, Barcola B. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Neves J. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
  • 46', Sarr M. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
  • 59', Barcola B. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
  • 59', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
  • 59', Palmer C. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
  • 60', Fernandez E. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
  • 62', 0 - 3, Mayulu S. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
  • 66', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 66', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 71', Cucurella M. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
  • 73', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
42.6%		Draw
22.8%		Paris Saint-Germain
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 22.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 22.9% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
    •

    Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.25 ↑
    (2.08)    		 4.2 ↓
    (4.35)    		 2.79 ↓
    (3.02)    		 4.1%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 26 - 50%). PSG will win (votes: 18 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 36.4% – 63.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 5 - 55.6%). PSG (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - PSG (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - PSG (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - PSG (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - PSG (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - PSG (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 5 - 35.7%). PSG (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-5. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.
    • In recent matches, Chelsea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.
    • Chelsea could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Inactive) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) James R. (Hamstring Injury) Jorgensen F. (Groin Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sharman-Lowe T. (Inactive) Slonina G. (Inactive) Wiley C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in PSG: Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Gusto M. (Illness)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    11.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea 5:2
    13.07.2025 Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain 3:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    14.03.2026 Chelsea - Newcastle United 0:1 ✺
    11.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea 5:2 ✺
    07.03.2026 Wrexham - Chelsea 2:4 ✺
    04.03.2026 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:4 ✺
    01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    11.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea 5:2 ✺
    06.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:3 ✺
    28.02.2026 Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    25.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 2:2 ✺
    21.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Metz 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)2 : 1, 0 : 2
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1PSG (11)Bayern Munich (2)5 : 4
    2Atl. Madrid (14)Arsenal (1)1 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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