De Graafschap vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 29
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.03
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
714
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
49
Blocked Shots
12
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
18
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
138
Offsides
13
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1821
Touches in the Opposition Box
2220
Passes
76% (313/411)77% (335/437)
Passes in the final third
57% (58/102)60% (72/120)
Crosses
18% (3/17)25% (4/16)
Tackles
71% (12/17)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
2620
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. , Bronkhorst I. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Brittijn P. , Fortes J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kaak L. , Najah A. ,
  • 46', Niemeijer R. , El Kadiri I. ,
  • 51', Symons K. 🟨,
  • 54', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 65', Pierie K. , Warmerdam D. ,
  • 70', Sanches Fernandes D. , Donkor J. ,
  • 70', Omorowa R. 🟨,
  • 71', Omorowa R. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 73', van de Haar J. , Seuntjens R. ,
  • 73', van der Heide A. , Warmerdam D. ,
  • 80', Fini S. , Martens N. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, El Kadiri I. , van Gilst T. (A),
  • 86', Eijgenraam J. , van Duinen M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Excelsior
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 24.8% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • De Graafschap - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.22)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    2.72
    (2.92)
    6.8%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • De Graafschap will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in De Graafschap: Wevers S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26:23 (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Excelsior were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Excelsior - De Graafschap 3:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Excelsior
    02.03.2025 Excelsior - Roda 1:1
    21.02.2025 Telstar - Excelsior 1:3
    16.02.2025 Excelsior - Helmond Sport 1:1
    10.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Excelsior 3:2
    01.02.2025 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie