Result
3:2
10/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 25
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/428) | 82% (358/436) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (73/106) | 62% (64/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 22% (4/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 71% (15/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, van de Pavert R. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Steur S. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
- 46', Janse D. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
- 50', Sanches Fernandes D. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Kaplan A. ⚽,
- 57', 2 - 1, Bounida R. ⚽, Faberski J. (A),
- 60', 2 - 2, Bronkhorst I. ⚽,
- 61', Bounida R. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 64', Donkor J. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
- 72', Omorowa R. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 72', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 72', van de Pavert R. ↓, Ugwu P. ↑,
- 74', Raatsie C. 🟨,
- 81', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Vink S. ⚽, Konadu D. (A),
- 85', Zagre A. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
- 85', Fini S. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
- 90+5', Bergraaf J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
27.9% | Draw
24.6% | Excelsior
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Ajax's performance.Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Ajax that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+17.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong Ajax - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↓
(6.89) |
3.81 ↓
(4.85) |
1.98 ↑
(1.4) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Excelsior will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Houston Christian won 1.
- Recent matches Houston Christian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- SE Louisiana is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently Houston Christian have a series of guest games.
- Recently SE Louisiana have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Houston Christian won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 875:932 (average 72.9:77.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Houston Christian won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 436:468 (average 72.7:78).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Excelsior?
Jong Ajax has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Jong Ajax?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Excelsior were as follows:
29.11.2024
Excelsior
-
Jong Ajax
2:0
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
