Result
0:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/520) | 78% (298/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/520) | 78% (298/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (30/48) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (122/167) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Verkuijl M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Verkuijl M. ↓, van de Pavert R. ↑,
- 46', Bassey E. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
- 50', Koller J. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, O'Niel D. ⚽, Appiah A. (A),
- 66', Bawuah J. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
- 66', Jones A. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
- 66', Nash P. ↓, Ibrahimovic M. ↑,
- 66', Koller J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 77', Vink S. ↓, Unuvar E. ↑,
- 77', Ouazane A. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 79', Bahaty M. ↓, Verhulst G. ↑,
- 88', van de Pavert R. 🟨,
- 89', Jetten L. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV 56.2% | Draw 21% | Jong Ajax 22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong PSV's performance.Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Jong PSV - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↓ (1.84) |
4.39 ↑ (4) |
4.09 ↑ (3.45) |
6.9% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 0.
- Recent performances by Jong PSV have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jong Ajax has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Jong PSV is a strong favorite.
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Heerkens J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 1.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Jong Ajax?
Jong PSV has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Jong PSV?
Jong Ajax has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Jong Ajax were as follows:
17.10.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Jong PSV
2:2
20.01.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Jong PSV
4:0
12.08.2024
Jong PSV
-
Jong Ajax
2:2
15.03.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Jong PSV
3:0
15.12.2023
Jong PSV
-
Jong Ajax
2:2
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )