Telstar vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 11
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.102.97
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1721
Shots on target
88
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
74% (255/343)82% (329/402)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.102.97
xG on target (xGOT)
4.162.29
Total shots
1721
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1216
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2921
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
158
Passes
74% (255/343)82% (329/402)
Long passes
39% (28/71)63% (46/73)
Passes in final third
65% (85/131)72% (69/96)
Crosses
12% (2/17)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.72
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
815
Tackles
70% (7/10)38% (3/8)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
2312
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
66
xGOT faced
2.294.16
Goals prevented
0.292.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. , Brouwer P. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 0, Owusu T. , Brouwer P. (A),
  • 32', Zagre A. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 1, Zagre A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Bakker D. (Pen),
  • 60', Tielemans M. , Naujoks N. ,
  • 61', Wlodarczyk S. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 61', Carlen A. , Schouten L. ,
  • 64', Owusu T. , Tejan K. ,
  • 64', Zonneveld M. , Hetli S. ,
  • 74', Zagre A. (Pen),
  • 77', 2 - 2, de Regt G. , Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
  • 79', Brouwer P. , Mertens D. ,
  • 82', de Regt G. , Mitrovic S. ,
  • 90', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
  • 90', Sanches Fernandes D. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 90+2', Rossen N. , Malone D. ,
  • 90+2', Noslin T. , Lechkar A. ,

Chances of winning


Telstar
43.6%
Draw
26.2%
Excelsior
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 25.3% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 25.9% 35.9%

Telstar - Excelsior Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.2
(2.4)
3.63
(3.75)
3.14
(2.7)
4.8%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Telstar - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.
    • Recent performances by Telstar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Excelsior has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Telstar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Janssen S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Telstar: Hetli S. (Inactive) Ogidi Nwankwo N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Naujoks N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1.1:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Excelsior were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Telstar - Excelsior 1:3
    13.09.2024 Excelsior - Telstar 3:2
    Latest results of Telstar
    29.10.2025 Lisse - Telstar 0:5
    25.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar 1:0
    19.10.2025 Telstar - Heerenveen 2:3
    05.10.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Telstar 2:1
    28.09.2025 Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles 4:2
    Latest results of Excelsior
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV13111141:172434
    2Feyenoord1391333:161728
    3AZ Alkmaar1373326:21524
    4Nijmegen1473436:231324
    5Utrecht1362523:17620
    6Ajax1355323:19420
    7Groningen1362519:19020
    8Sittard1453620:22-218
    9Twente1345421:19217
    10Heerenveen1445523:24-117
    11Sparta Rotterdam1452716:28-1217
    12G.A. Eagles1344521:22-116
    13Excelsior1451814:24-1016
    14Zwolle1444618:30-1216
    15FC Volendam1335517:21-414
    16Heracles1441922:36-1413
    17NAC Breda1433815:23-812
    18Telstar1324715:22-710

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie