Result
2:2
01/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 11
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 2.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (255/343) | 82% (329/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 2.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.16 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (255/343) | 82% (329/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/71) | 63% (46/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (85/131) | 72% (69/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 4.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Brouwer P. (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Owusu T. ⚽, Brouwer P. (A),
- 32', Zagre A. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 1, Zagre A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Bakker D. (Pen),
- 60', Tielemans M. ↓, Naujoks N. ↑,
- 61', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 61', Carlen A. ↓, Schouten L. ↑,
- 64', Owusu T. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 64', Zonneveld M. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
- 74', Zagre A. (Pen),
- 77', 2 - 2, de Regt G. ⚽, Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
- 79', Brouwer P. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 82', de Regt G. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
- 90', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
- 90', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 90+2', Rossen N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
- 90+2', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Telstar
43.6% | Draw
26.2% | Excelsior
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Telstar - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.4) |
3.63 ↓
(3.75) |
3.14 ↑
(2.7) |
4.8%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Telstar - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 21.4% – 67.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.
- Recent performances by Telstar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Excelsior has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Telstar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
Janssen S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Hetli S.
(Inactive)
Ogidi Nwankwo N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Naujoks N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1.1:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Excelsior?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Telstar?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Excelsior were as follows:
21.02.2025
Telstar
-
Excelsior
1:3
13.09.2024
Excelsior
-
Telstar
3:2
Latest results of Telstar
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | PSV | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Ajax | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Groningen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Twente | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Sittard | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Nijmegen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 27:20 | 7 | 15 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
