Zwolle vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Zwolle - Excelsior
Result
2:1
06/04/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 29
  • Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.431.31
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
258
Shots on Goal
114
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
1011
Corner Kicks
95
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
2622
Goalkeeper Saves
39
Fouls
1311
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
428364
Completed Passes
312261
Tackles
1115
Attacks
103123
Dangerous Attacks
5733
Clearances Completed
1722

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Nieuwpoort S. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Garcia MacNulty A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nieuwpoort S. , el Yaakoubi R. ,
  • 46', Sandra C. , Naujoks N. ,
  • 64', Omorowa R. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 64', de Moes S. , Benita M. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Velanas O. , Krastev F. (A),
  • 76', Baas J. 🟨,
  • 79', Lamprou L. , Sanches Fernandes D. ,
  • 81', El Azzouzi A. , van der Haar D. ,
  • 83', Namli Y. , Vellios A. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Duijvestijn L. , Goudmijn K. (A),

Chances of winning


Zwolle
48.1%
Draw
25.6%
Excelsior
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 25.7% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 25.4% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Zwolle - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.17)
    3.74
    (3.67)
    3.59
    (3.06)
    5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Zwolle - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 4.
    • Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.
    • Excelsior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Zwolle will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Baas J. (Yellow Cards) Driouech C. (Injury) Zagre A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Druijf F. (Knee Injury) Fichtinger N. (Leg Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury) Thomas R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Parrott T. (Injury) Pierie K. (Foot Injury) Seymor S. (Injury) Smeulers I. (Injury) el Yaakoubi R. (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 34-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Excelsior were as follows:
    22.10.2023 Excelsior - Zwolle 2:4
    Latest results of Zwolle
    03.04.2024 Utrecht - Zwolle 5:1
    31.03.2024 Zwolle - Ajax 1:3
    16.03.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle 3:1
    10.03.2024 Zwolle - Volendam 1:1
    03.03.2024 Heerenveen - Zwolle 2:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    02.04.2024 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    16.03.2024 Excelsior - Waalwijk 1:1
    10.03.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior 4:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nijmegen22009:186
    2PSV22008:176
    3Feyenoord22004:136
    4Zwolle22003:036
    5AZ Alkmaar21106:334
    6Ajax21104:224
    7Utrecht21015:233
    8NAC Breda21012:3-13
    9Groningen21013:5-23
    10Sparta Rotterdam21013:7-43
    11G.A. Eagles20204:402
    12FC Volendam20203:302
    13Sittard20113:4-11
    14Heerenveen20112:3-11
    15Twente20020:3-30
    16Telstar20020:4-40
    17Excelsior20021:7-60
    18Heracles20021:8-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie