Result
4:3
28/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.45 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/466) | 77% (270/352) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.45 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (371/466) | 77% (270/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/69) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (94/149) | 55% (38/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Sagoe Jr C. ⚽, O'Neill C. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Magennis J. ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 2, Dudziak H. ⚽,
- 55', Swinkels S. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
- 55', Niskanen I. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Aitchison J. ⚽, Francis E. (A),
- 71', Washington M. ↓, Ogunnaike J. ↑,
- 71', Aitchison J. ↓, Birch G. ↑,
- 71', Wilson K. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
- 71', Dean T. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 72', Nichols J. ↓, Hamill C. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 3, Kamara O. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
- 76', 3 - 3, Magennis J. ⚽,
- 77', Ibrahim I. ↓, Murisa T. ↑,
- 84', Kamara O. ↓, Ferdinand S. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 3, Wareham J. ⚽, Woodhouse L. (A),
Chances of winning
Exeter City
50.7% | Draw
22.8% | Arsenal U21
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Arsenal U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Exeter City - Arsenal U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.71) |
4 ↓
(4.2) |
3.55 ↓
(3.82) |
7.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Arsenal U21?
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Exeter have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arsenal U21 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arsenal U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Exeter is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
- Including home match between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Arsenal U21?
Exeter City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal U21 won against Exeter City?
Arsenal U21 has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Arsenal U21 were as follows:
10.10.2023
Exeter City
-
Arsenal U21
0:5
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Arsenal U21
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
