Exeter City vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St James Park (Exeter).

League One - Round 8
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	0.51
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
81% (353/434)	65% (119/183)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	0.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	0.68
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	3
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
17	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	3
Passes
81% (353/434)	65% (119/183)
Long passes
34% (22/65)	33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
67% (92/137)	52% (36/69)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.26	0.09
Throw-ins
33	20
Fouls
3	12
Tackles
63% (5/8)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
36	36
Clearances
24	39
Interceptions
2	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.68	1.16
Goals prevented
-1.32	1.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Paton R. ⚽, Byers G. (A),
11', Aitchison J. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
12', Humphreys C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Cole D. ⚽, Paton R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
66', Paton R. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
70', Heneghan B. ↓, Debrah J. ↑,
71', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
71', Cox S. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
77', Garrity B. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
78', Cole D. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
79', Gordon L. 🟨,
85', Turns E. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Exeter City
26.1%

Draw
28.8%

Port Vale
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Exeter City - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.78)	3.47 ↑ (3.32)	2.19 ↓ (2.42)	-0.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Exeter City - Port Vale?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Exeter City will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Cole R. (Illness) McDonald K. (Injury) Swinkels S. (Knee Injury) Yfeko J. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Port Vale?

Exeter City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Exeter City?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Port Vale were as follows:

13.04.2024 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:4

09.12.2023 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:1

18.02.2023 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:0

05.11.2022 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:3

Latest results of Exeter City

06.09.2025 Rotherham United - Exeter City 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Exeter City - Peterborough United 3:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Northampton Town - Exeter City 2:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Exeter City - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

06.09.2025 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 2:3 ✺

02.09.2025 Port Vale - Leeds United U21 4:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Reading - Port Vale 1:0 ✺

26.08.2025 Birmingham City - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	13	8	2	3	21:11	10	26
2	Stevenage	12	8	2	2	18:10	8	26
3	Bradford City	13	7	5	1	23:16	7	26
4	Stockport County	13	7	4	2	19:14	5	25
5	AFC Wimbledon	14	8	1	5	19:15	4	25
6	Lincoln	13	7	3	3	18:11	7	24
7	Bolton	14	6	5	3	19:15	4	23
8	Mansfield	13	5	4	4	19:15	4	19
9	Huddersfield	13	6	1	6	18:18	0	19
10	Luton	13	6	1	6	15:15	0	19
11	Barnsley	12	5	3	4	18:17	1	18
12	Doncaster	14	5	3	6	13:19	-6	18
13	Wigan	14	4	5	5	17:18	-1	17
14	Leyton Orient	14	5	2	7	21:23	-2	17
15	Rotherham	13	5	2	6	13:16	-3	17
16	Northampton	14	5	2	7	10:13	-3	17
17	Wycombe	14	4	4	6	18:16	2	16
18	Exeter	14	5	1	8	14:14	0	16
19	Reading	14	3	6	5	15:19	-4	15
20	Burton	13	4	3	6	11:16	-5	15
21	Port Vale	13	3	4	6	11:12	-1	13
22	Plymouth	13	4	1	8	17:23	-6	13
23	Blackpool	14	3	3	8	13:22	-9	12
24	Peterborough	13	3	1	9	10:22	-12	10

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two