Port Vale vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 28

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.53	2.17
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
12	4
Passes
79% (279/355)	81% (311/382)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.53	2.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.69	1.89
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
12	8
Shots outside the box
1	3
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
12	4
Touches in opposition box
34	15
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
7	3
Free kicks
17	4
Passes
79% (279/355)	81% (311/382)
Long passes
40% (19/47)	46% (32/69)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)	63% (59/94)
Crosses
30% (9/30)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	0.91
Throw ins
25	21
Fouls
4	17
Tackles
63% (5/8)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
58	51
Clearances
35	27
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.89	1.69
Goals prevented
-1.11	0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Mendes C. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
28', Ojo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽,
55', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
55', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Tuterov T. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
64', Ojo F. ↓, Humphreys C. ↑,
64', Shipley J. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
64', Hall G. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
68', Oakes L. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
68', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
73', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
75', Aitchison J. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Humphreys C. ⚽, Heneghan B. (A),
82', Aitchison J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
89', Whitworth J. 🟨,
90+4', Cox S. 🟨,
90+5', Archer E. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
90+7', Magennis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
40.6%

Draw
28.7%

Exeter City
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Port Vale - Exeter City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)	3.24 (3.24)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	6.8% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Exeter City?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Exeter (2.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Exeter is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Inactive) Hall C. (Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Exeter City?

Port Vale has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Port Vale?

Exeter City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Exeter City were as follows:

13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2

13.04.2024 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:4

09.12.2023 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:1

18.02.2023 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:0

05.11.2022 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:3

Latest results of Port Vale

17.01.2026 Mansfield Town - Port Vale 3:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

09.01.2026 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

04.01.2026 Port Vale - Barnsley Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Port Vale - Blackpool 5:1 ✺

Latest results of Exeter City

17.01.2026 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 3:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Manchester City - Exeter City 10:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Huddersfield Town - Exeter City 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Exeter City - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two