Port Vale vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 28

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.53	2.17
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
12	4
Passes
79% (279/355)	81% (311/382)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.53	2.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.69	1.89
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
12	8
Shots outside the box
1	3
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
12	4
Touches in opposition box
34	15
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
7	3
Free kicks
17	4
Passes
79% (279/355)	81% (311/382)
Long passes
40% (19/47)	46% (32/69)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)	63% (59/94)
Crosses
30% (9/30)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	0.91
Throw ins
25	21
Fouls
4	17
Tackles
63% (5/8)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
58	51
Clearances
35	27
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.89	1.69
Goals prevented
-1.11	0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Mendes C. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
28', Ojo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽,
55', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
55', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Tuterov T. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
64', Ojo F. ↓, Humphreys C. ↑,
64', Shipley J. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
64', Hall G. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
68', Oakes L. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
68', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
73', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
75', Aitchison J. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Humphreys C. ⚽, Heneghan B. (A),
82', Aitchison J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
89', Whitworth J. 🟨,
90+4', Cox S. 🟨,
90+5', Archer E. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
90+7', Magennis J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
40.6%

Draw
28.7%

Exeter City
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

28.7%

Port Vale - Exeter City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)	3.24 (3.24)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	6.8% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Exeter City?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Exeter (2.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Exeter is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Inactive) Hall C. (Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Exeter City?

Port Vale has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Port Vale?

Exeter City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Exeter City were as follows:

13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2

13.04.2024 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:4

09.12.2023 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:1

18.02.2023 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:0

05.11.2022 Port Vale - Exeter City 2:3

Latest results of Port Vale

17.01.2026 Mansfield Town - Port Vale 3:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

09.01.2026 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

04.01.2026 Port Vale - Barnsley Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Port Vale - Blackpool 5:1 ✺

Latest results of Exeter City

17.01.2026 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 3:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Manchester City - Exeter City 10:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Huddersfield Town - Exeter City 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Exeter City - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two