Result
0:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 8
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/434) | 65% (119/183) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/434) | 65% (119/183) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/65) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (92/137) | 52% (36/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | 1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Paton R. ⚽, Byers G. (A),
- 11', Aitchison J. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
- 12', Humphreys C. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Cole D. ⚽, Paton R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
- 66', Paton R. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 70', Heneghan B. ↓, Debrah J. ↑,
- 71', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 71', Cox S. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
- 77', Garrity B. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
- 78', Cole D. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 79', Gordon L. 🟨,
- 85', Turns E. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
26.1% | Draw
28.8% | Port Vale
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Exeter City - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↑
(2.78) |
3.47 ↑
(3.32) |
2.19 ↓
(2.42) |
-0.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Port Vale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Stockley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Cole R.
(Illness)
McDonald K.
(Injury)
Swinkels S.
(Knee Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Port Vale?
Exeter City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Exeter City?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Port Vale were as follows:
13.04.2024
Port Vale
-
Exeter City
2:4
09.12.2023
Exeter City
-
Port Vale
0:1
18.02.2023
Port Vale
-
Exeter City
1:0
05.11.2022
Port Vale
-
Exeter City
2:3
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Doncaster | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Wigan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Luton | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Stockport County | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Bolton | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Northampton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Exeter | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Plymouth | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 21 | Reading | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 22 | Burton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
