Result
0:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 23
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (261/355) | 75% (325/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (261/355) | 75% (325/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 37% (30/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (61/109) | 61% (91/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Sasu A. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Asiimwe N. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 62', McMillan J. 🟨,
- 64', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 64', Maycock C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
- 65', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 65', Higgins A. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 68', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
- 76', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
- 87', Brierley E. ↓, Swinkels S. ↑,
- 88', Wareham J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 88', Smith A. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
- 90+1', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 90+9', Seddon S. 🟨,
- 90+9', Aitchison J. 🟨,
- 90+9', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
- 90+11', Bishop N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
38.6% | Draw
30.3% | Exeter City
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.27) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
3 ↑
(3) |
7.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 3 - 50%). Exeter (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Magennis J.
(Inactive)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
Turns E.
(Inactive)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Cox S.
(Inactive)
Higgins A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Exeter City?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against AFC Wimbledon?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City were as follows:
09.12.2025
Exeter City
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
