Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 12
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (309/424) | 72% (275/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (309/424) | 72% (275/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (36/76) | 21% (15/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (74/135) | 47% (47/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Ritchie M. 🟨,
- 64', Higgins A. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 71', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 75', Yfeko J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 82', Ahmed A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
- 83', Ritchie M. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 87', Cole R. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
- 87', Brierley E. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
- 90+4', Wareham J. 🟨,
- 90+9', Jacob M. ↓, Dorsett A. J. R. ↑,
- 90+9', Lane P. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
31.5% | Draw
28.5% | Reading
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reading's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reading, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Exeter City - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.3) |
3.25 ↓
(3.45) |
2.42 ↓
(2.92) |
5.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Reading?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Reading will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 19)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
- Exeter has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Reading's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Cox S.
(Groin Injury)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Reading: Camara M.
(Ankle Injury)
Williams D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Rydel R.
(Injury)
Swinkels S.
(Knee Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Fraser L.
(Inactive)
Garcia A.
(Injury)
O'Connor P.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.8:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Reading?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Exeter City?
Reading has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Reading were as follows:
04.03.2025
Reading
-
Exeter City
0:0
22.10.2024
Exeter City
-
Reading
1:2
01.01.2024
Reading
-
Exeter City
3:2
19.09.2023
Exeter City
-
Reading
0:9
26.08.2023
Exeter City
-
Reading
2:1
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
