Exeter City vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Exeter City - Reading
Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 12
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.33
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
73% (309/424)72% (275/381)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.490.38
Total shots
58
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
65
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
73% (309/424)72% (275/381)
Long passes
47% (36/76)21% (15/71)
Passes in final third
55% (74/135)47% (47/99)
Crosses
15% (3/20)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.44
Throw-ins
3222
Fouls
1413
Tackles
56% (9/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5766
Clearances
2534
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.380.49
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Marriott J. ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Wareham J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Ritchie M. 🟨,
  • 64', Higgins A. , Aitchison J. ,
  • 71', Doyle K. , Ehibhatiomhan K. ,
  • 75', Yfeko J. , McDonald K. ,
  • 82', Ahmed A. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 83', Ritchie M. , Yiadom A. ,
  • 87', Cole R. , Dean T. ,
  • 87', Brierley E. , Wilson K. ,
  • 90+4', Wareham J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Jacob M. , Dorsett A. J. R. ,
  • 90+9', Lane P. , Kyerewaa D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
31.5%
Draw
28.5%
Reading
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.1% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 27.4% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.
  • Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reading's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reading, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Exeter City - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.3)
    3.25
    (3.45)
    2.42
    (2.92)
    5.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Exeter City - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Reading will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 19)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
    • Exeter has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Reading's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Cox S. (Groin Injury) Mendes C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Reading: Camara M. (Ankle Injury) Williams D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Rydel R. (Injury) Swinkels S. (Knee Injury) Yfeko J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Fraser L. (Inactive) Garcia A. (Injury) O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.8:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.8:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Reading were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Reading - Exeter City 0:0
    22.10.2024 Exeter City - Reading 1:2
    01.01.2024 Reading - Exeter City 3:2
    19.09.2023 Exeter City - Reading 0:9
    26.08.2023 Exeter City - Reading 2:1
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Reading
    04.10.2025 Reading - Mansfield Town 1:1
    27.09.2025 Stockport County - Reading 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two