Result
2:2
27/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 29
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (419/515) | 77% (300/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (419/515) | 77% (300/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 33% (26/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (62/115) | 42% (30/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Sweeney P. ⚽, Cole R. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Keane W. ⚽, Roberts H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 59', Cox S. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
- 64', McMillan J. ↓, Yfeko J. ↑,
- 67', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 69', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
- 74', Woodhouse L. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 1, O'Connor P. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
- 77', Sweeney P. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
- 77', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 77', Keane W. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 78', O'Connor P. 🟨,
- 79', Roberts H. 🟨,
- 87', Doyle K. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 88', Marriott J. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Woodhouse L. ⚽,
- 90+6', Nyambe R. 🟨,
- 90+11', Tuterov T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reading
42.9% | Draw
28.4% | Exeter City
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Reading - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.86) |
3.3 ↓
(3.43) |
3.25 ↓
(3.85) |
7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Reading - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Exeter (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Exeter (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Exeter City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Exeter (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 3.
- Recent performances by Reading have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Exeter is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Reading is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reading: Williams D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Rydel R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reading won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Exeter City?
Reading has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Reading?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Exeter City were as follows:
11.10.2025
Exeter City
-
Reading
1:1
04.03.2025
Reading
-
Exeter City
0:0
22.10.2024
Exeter City
-
Reading
1:2
01.01.2024
Reading
-
Exeter City
3:2
19.09.2023
Exeter City
-
Reading
0:9
Latest results of Reading
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
