Peterborough United vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 23
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.49
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
193
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
89% (465/523)68% (187/274)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.01
Total shots
193
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
90
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
365
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
175
Passes
89% (465/523)68% (187/274)
Long passes
60% (21/35)22% (14/63)
Passes in final third
76% (105/139)39% (23/59)
Crosses
30% (9/30)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.26
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
517
Tackles
43% (3/7)77% (20/26)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
929
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.012.11
Goals prevented
0.011.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Doyle K. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Kyerewaa D. , Marriott J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Collins A. 🟨,
  • 53', Morgan J. , Frith D. ,
  • 68', Woods B. , Lindgren G. ,
  • 69', Doyle K. , Fraser L. ,
  • 69', Camara M. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 72', Yiadom A. 🟨,
  • 75', Leonard H. 🟨,
  • 75', Yiadom A. , Garcia A. ,
  • 76', Marriott J. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Lindgren G. ,
  • 82', Lisbie K. , Hayes C. ,
  • 85', Savage C. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 90+7', Abrefa K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
38.3%
Draw
28.2%
Reading
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 27.6% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.6% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Peterborough United - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.31)
    3.32
    (3.32)
    2.79
    (2.8)
    7.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.2%84.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peterborough United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
    • Peterborough is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Reading has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive) Nevett G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Jacob M. (Injury) Rinomhota A. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Reading were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Reading - Peterborough United 1:2
    29.03.2025 Reading - Peterborough United 3:1
    23.11.2024 Peterborough United - Reading 1:2
    26.12.2023 Peterborough United - Reading 2:2
    05.08.2023 Reading - Peterborough United 0:1
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Latest results of Reading
    26.12.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Reading 1:4
    18.12.2025 Reading - Luton Town 3:2
    13.12.2025 Bradford City - Reading 2:0
    29.11.2025 Blackpool - Reading 0:3
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two