Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 7
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (223/311) | 82% (411/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (223/311) | 82% (411/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 25% (14/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (61/115) | 69% (68/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Etete K. ↓, Rafferty J. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 0, Hall D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Hall D. ↓, Kayode J. ↑,
- 64', Aitchison J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 65', Wareham J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 80', Andrew D. ↓, Sweeney P. ↑,
- 80', Brierley E. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 84', McWilliams S. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
- 85', Hugill J. ↓, Spence K. ↑,
- 85', Kaleta M. ↓, Baptiste J. ↑,
- 90+3', Baptiste J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
41.3% | Draw
28.2% | Exeter City
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Rotherham United - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.28) |
3.3 ↓
(3.35) |
3.07 ↓
(3.14) |
6.9%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 1 - 25%). Exeter (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Rotherham is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Exeter's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rotherham has had a series of away games.
- Rotherham might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Agbaire L.
(Contusion)
Benson J.
(Calf Injury)
Hatton B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nombe S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Spence K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Cole R.
(Illness)
Swinkels S.
(Knee Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Exeter City?
Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Rotherham United?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Exeter City were as follows:
15.03.2025
Rotherham United
-
Exeter City
1:1
10.08.2024
Exeter City
-
Rotherham United
1:0
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Exeter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wigan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
