Result
0:4
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 30
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/515) | 71% (191/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 3.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/515) | 71% (191/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (90/141) | 55% (48/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Brierley E. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Baptiste J. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
- 40', Gore D. ↓, Adegboyega E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 57', Oakes L. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 57', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
- 57', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Rafferty J. ⚽, Nombe S. (A),
- 72', 0 - 3, Gray H. ⚽, McWilliams S. (A),
- 74', Spence K. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
- 74', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 75', Sweeney P. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 4, McWilliams S. ⚽, Nombe S. (A),
- 77', Nombe S. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 83', Magennis J. 🟨,
- 86', Niskanen I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Martha A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
46.2% | Draw
28.3% | Rotherham United
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-2%)
Exeter City - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.96) |
3.29 ↑
(3.22) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
6.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Rotherham United?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 60.6% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Exeter City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Recent performances by Exeter have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rotherham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Exeter is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hatton B.
(Inactive)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Rydel R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Rotherham United?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Exeter City?
Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Rotherham United were as follows:
06.09.2025
Rotherham United
-
Exeter City
1:0
15.03.2025
Rotherham United
-
Exeter City
1:1
10.08.2024
Exeter City
-
Rotherham United
1:0
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
