Peterborough United vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.990.73
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
92
Big chances
70
Corner kicks
35
Passes
84% (453/537)71% (208/295)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.990.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.670.38
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
12
Blocked shots
46
Shots inside the box
117
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
70
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
117
Passes
84% (453/537)71% (208/295)
Long passes
29% (16/55)23% (11/47)
Passes in final third
71% (70/98)45% (38/84)
Crosses
23% (3/13)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.48
Throw ins
2322
Fouls
711
Tackles
63% (12/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.383.67
Goals prevented
0.38-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Lisbie K. ,
  • 33', Powell J. , Benson J. ,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Morgan J. , Collins A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 58', Sousa L. , Biancheri G. ,
  • 58', Cover B. , Holmes J. ,
  • 65', Mills H. , Mendy J. ,
  • 65', Morgan J. , Sykut P. ,
  • 65', Aderoju O. , Kamara D. ,
  • 68', 3 - 0, Kamara D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', Hayes C. 🟨,
  • 74', Watmore D. , Clarke J. ,
  • 75', Baptiste J. 🟨,
  • 76', 4 - 0, Kamara D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 77', Hayes C. , Frith D. ,
  • 77', Okagbue D. , Mendonca L. ,
  • 81', 5 - 0, Collins A. , Frith D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
44.7%
Draw
25.3%
Rotherham United
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 25.8% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 23.2% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Peterborough United - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.89)
    3.71
    (3.55)
    3.13
    (3.55)
    6.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Rotherham United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peterborough United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
    • Peterborough is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rotherham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Garbett M. (Inactive) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lees T. (Inactive) Leonard H. (Inactive) O'Brien-Brady D. (Inactive) Woods B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Spence K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: Mendy J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Gore D. (Inactive) McWilliams S. (Inactive) Yearwood D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Rotherham United were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Rotherham United - Peterborough United 0:2
    03.05.2025 Rotherham United - Peterborough United 2:1
    12.10.2024 Peterborough United - Rotherham United 3:3
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two