Express vs Mbarara City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
05/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
35
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
310
Corner Kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Kawawa A. ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Basangwa R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 3 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. ,
  • 71', 4 - 1, Eragu G. ,

Chances of winning


Express
52.2%
Draw
28.1%
Mbarara City
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 29.2% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 23.4% 24.5%

Express - Mbarara City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.74
(1.77)
3.23
(3.1)
4.62
(4.62)
10.1%
(10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
  • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 2.
  • Recent performances by Express have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Mbarara City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • In this match, Express is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Express won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.1:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Express won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Express - Mbarara City were as follows:
28.11.2024 Express - Mbarara City 3:1
02.02.2024 Mbarara City - Express 3:1
23.09.2023 Express - Mbarara City 0:0
Latest results of Express
30.10.2025 Bul - Express 0:0
02.10.2025 Police - Express 2:1
26.09.2025 Express - UPDF 1:0
Latest results of Mbarara City
01.11.2025 Mbarara City - NEC FC 0:1
24.10.2025 Kitara - Mbarara City 3:2
17.10.2025 Mbarara City - Bul 1:1
03.10.2025 Mbarara City - UPDF 0:1
26.09.2025 Police - Mbarara City 1:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Police742112:8414
2Kampala City742110:6414
3Villa641110:5513
4Kitara63129:5410
5Entebbe UPPC73138:8010
6BUL72416:3310
7Vipers33004:139
8Express72327:529
9Lugazi72329:909
10Buhimba73047:13-69
11URA SC71516:608
12NEC FC61326:7-16
13UPDF62046:8-26
14Maroons61234:6-25
15Mbarara City71247:12-55
16Calvary60155:14-91

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Big League