Result
4:1
05/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Kawawa A. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Basangwa R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 3 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. ⚽,
- 71', 4 - 1, Eragu G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Express 52.2% | Draw 28.1% | Mbarara City 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Express - Mbarara City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.77) |
3.23 ↑ (3.1) |
4.62 (4.62) |
10.1% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 2.
- Recent performances by Express have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mbarara City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Express is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Express won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Express won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Express won against Mbarara City?
Express has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Express?
Mbarara City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Express - Mbarara City were as follows:
28.11.2024
Express
-
Mbarara City
3:1
02.02.2024
Mbarara City
-
Express
3:1
23.09.2023
Express
-
Mbarara City
0:0
Latest results of Express
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kampala City | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Vipers | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Villa | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Police | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Kitara | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Maroons | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Express | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | NEC FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | UPDF | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | URA SC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
| 13 | BUL | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Calvary | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6:21 | -15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League