Result
4:1
05/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Kawawa A. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Basangwa R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 3 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 0, Ssenoga M. K. ⚽,
- 71', 4 - 1, Eragu G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Express
52.2% | Draw
28.1% | Mbarara City
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Express that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Express - Mbarara City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.77) |
3.23 ↑
(3.1) |
4.62
(4.62) |
10.1%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 2.
- Recent performances by Express have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mbarara City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Express is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Express won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Express won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Express won against Mbarara City?
Express has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Express?
Mbarara City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Express - Mbarara City were as follows:
28.11.2024
Express
-
Mbarara City
3:1
02.02.2024
Mbarara City
-
Express
3:1
23.09.2023
Express
-
Mbarara City
0:0
Latest results of Express
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37:9 | 28 | 41 |
| 2 | Kitara | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Police | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | BUL | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:26 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
