Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 San-marino | San Marino RTV |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 0, Quarta A. ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 1, Alabay A. ⚽, Abbadessa C. (A),
- 90', 2 - 1, Tomassini F. R. ⚽, Guidotti R. (A),
Chances of winning
AC Libertas
32.3% | Draw
30.6% | Faetano
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AC Libertas's form might have worsened.Faetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AC Libertas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Faetano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AC Libertas - Faetano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.15) |
2.95 ↓
(3.54) |
2.43 ↓
(2.82) |
11.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 2.
- AC Libertas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Faetano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- AC Libertas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Faetano?
AC Libertas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Faetano won against AC Libertas?
Faetano has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AC Libertas - Faetano were as follows:
18.10.2025
Faetano
-
AC Libertas
1:1
02.11.2024
Faetano
-
AC Libertas
3:1
27.01.2024
AC Libertas
-
Faetano
1:3
30.09.2023
Faetano
-
AC Libertas
1:2
29.01.2023
AC Libertas
-
Faetano
2:1
Latest results of AC Libertas
Latest results of Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
