Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Michelucci R. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Michelucci R. ⚽, De Luca K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 71', 1 - 2, Zonzini K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Montalti D. 🟥,
- 86', 2 - 2, Golinucci E. ⚽, Elia G. (A),
- 90', 3 - 2, Pallante G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Faetano 35.6% | Draw 30% | Cailungo 34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)The ML Model estimate for Cailungo aligns with the current prediction.
Faetano - Cailungo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.37) |
3 ↓ (3.35) |
2.62 ↑ (2.59) |
11.1% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Faetano won against Cailungo?
Faetano has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cailungo won against Faetano?
Cailungo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Faetano - Cailungo were as follows:
03.10.2025
Cailungo
-
Faetano
0:1
19.01.2025
Faetano
-
Cailungo
0:1
31.08.2024
Cailungo
-
Faetano
0:1
21.02.2024
Faetano
-
Cailungo
2:0
29.10.2023
Cailungo
-
Faetano
4:1
Latest results of Faetano
Latest results of Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)