Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Michelucci R. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Michelucci R. ⚽, De Luca K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 71', 1 - 2, Zonzini K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Montalti D. 🟥,
- 86', 2 - 2, Golinucci E. ⚽, Elia G. (A),
- 90', 3 - 2, Pallante G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Faetano 35.6% | Draw 30% | Cailungo 34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)The ML Model estimate for Cailungo aligns with the current prediction.
Faetano - Cailungo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.37) |
3 ↓ (3.35) |
2.62 ↑ (2.59) |
11.1% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Faetano won against Cailungo?
Faetano has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cailungo won against Faetano?
Cailungo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Faetano - Cailungo were as follows:
03.10.2025
Cailungo
-
Faetano
0:1
19.01.2025
Faetano
-
Cailungo
0:1
31.08.2024
Cailungo
-
Faetano
0:1
21.02.2024
Faetano
-
Cailungo
2:0
29.10.2023
Cailungo
-
Faetano
4:1
Latest results of Faetano
Latest results of Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)